Brian Schley
Jun 9, 200912 min
WEDNESDAY: MOSTLY SUNNY AND HOT LO: 62 HI: 92
THURSDAY: PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND STORMS POSSIBLE LO: 56 HI: 86
FRIDAY: PARTLY CLOUDY AND COOLER LO: 54 HI: 79
SATURDAY: MOSTLY SUNNY AND COOL LO: 52 HI: 76
SUNDAY: MOSTLY SUNNY AND SEASONABLE LO: 54 HI: 78
FORECASTER: SCHLEY
—–
COMMENT:
AUTHOR: A Yahoo! user
DATE: 09/27/2007 17:52:26
657
WTNT32 KNHC 272033
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KAREN ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122007
500 PM AST THU SEP 27 2007
…KAREN WEAKENING SOME…STILL A TROPICAL STORM…
AT 500 PM AST…2100Z…THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KAREN WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.3 NORTH…LONGITUDE 48.5 WEST OR ABOUT 845
MILES…1360 KM…EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS.
KAREN IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH…20 KM/HR…AND
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH…95 KM/HR…WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. KAREN IS CURRENTLY IN AN AREA OF UNFAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL
WINDS…AND SOME FURTHER WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES…280 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB…29.68 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 500 PM AST POSITION…14.3 N…48.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD…NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…60 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1005 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 PM AST.
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS/AVILA
—–
COMMENT:
AUTHOR: A Yahoo! user
DATE: 09/27/2007 17:52:48
343
WTNT33 KNHC 272352
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
HURRICANE LORENZO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 10A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132007
700 PM CDT THU SEP 27 2007
…LORENZO BECOMES A HURRICANE AS IT NEARS THE COAST OF MEXICO…
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO
FROM PALMA SOLA TO CABO ROJO. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD
BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SOUTH OF PALMA SOLA
TO VERACRUZ. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE GULF COAST OF
MEXICO FROM NORTH OF CABO ROJO TO LA CRUZ. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH
MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA…INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS…PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 700 PM CDT…0000Z…THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LORENZO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.4 NORTH…LONGITUDE 96.2 WEST OR ABOUT 75
MILES…125 KM…EAST-SOUTHEAST OF TUXPAN MEXICO.
LORENZO IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 6 MPH…9 KM/HR…AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION TOWARD THE COAST OF MEXICO IS EXPECTED UNTIL THE
CENTER CROSSES THE COAST OF MEXICO IN THE NEXT 6 TO 12 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH…120 KM/HR…WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LORENZO IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS LIKELY PRIOR TO LANDFALL.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 20 MILES…30 KM…FROM
THE CENTER…AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70
MILES…110 KM FROM THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 993 MB…29.32 INCHES.
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS…ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES…CAN BE
EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE
COAST.
LORENZO IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO
10 INCHES OVER THE MEXICAN STATE OF VERACRUZ…WITH POSSIBLE
ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 700 PM CDT POSITION…20.4 N…96.2 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD…WEST NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…75 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…993 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 1000 PM CDT.
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
—–
COMMENT:
AUTHOR: A Yahoo! user
DATE: 09/28/2007 15:32:20
533
WTNT32 KNHC 282031
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KAREN ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122007
500 PM AST FRI SEP 28 2007
…KAREN BARELY A TROPICAL STORM…
AT 500 PM AST…2100Z…THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KAREN WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.4 NORTH…LONGITUDE 49.9 WEST OR ABOUT 780
MILES…1250 KM…EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS.
KAREN IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH…19 KM/HR…AND
THIS MOTION WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH…65 KM/HR…WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS DUE TO STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WINDS.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150 MILES…240 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB…29.77 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 500 PM AST POSITION…16.4 N…49.9 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD…NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…40 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1008 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 PM AST.
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS/AVILA
—–
COMMENT:
AUTHOR: A Yahoo! user
DATE: 09/28/2007 15:33:07
523
WTNT34 KNHC 282023
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142007
500 PM AST FRI SEP 28 2007
…TROPICAL DEPRESSION MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD WITH NO CHANGE IN
ORGANIZATION…
AT 500 PM AST…2100Z…THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.0 NORTH…LONGITUDE 27.0 WEST OR ABOUT
245 MILES…390 KM…SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 5 MPH…8 KM/HR. A
GRADUAL TURN TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND NORTHWEST IS ANTICIPATED.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 35 MPH…55 KM/HR…WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. THE DEPRESSION HAS A CHANCE TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM ON
SATURDAY.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB…29.77 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 500 PM AST POSITION…14.0 N…27.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD…WEST NEAR 5 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…35 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1008 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 PM AST.
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
—–
COMMENT:
AUTHOR: A Yahoo! user
DATE: 09/29/2007 08:30:12
749
WTNT32 KNHC 291439
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION KAREN ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122007
1100 AM AST SAT SEP 29 2007
…KAREN NOT LIKELY TO SURVIVE THE HOSTILE ENVIRONMENT…
AT 1100 AM AST…1500Z…THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION KAREN WAS
ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.8 NORTH…LONGITUDE 53.8 WEST OR ABOUT
530 MILES…850 KM…EAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS.
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH…15 KM/HR.
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY.
SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT KAREN HAS WEAKENED AND MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 35 MPH…55 KM/HR…WITH
HIGHER GUSTS TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. KAREN COULD DEGENERATE INTO
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LATER TODAY.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB…29.80 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 1100 AM AST POSITION…16.8 N…53.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD…NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…35 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1009 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 PM AST.
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
—–
COMMENT:
AUTHOR: A Yahoo! user
DATE: 09/29/2007 08:30:47
656
WTNT34 KNHC 291437
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM MELISSA ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142007
1100 AM AST SAT SEP 29 2007
…MELISSA IS NOT EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN FURTHER…
AT 1100 AM AST…1500Z…THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MELISSA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.2 NORTH…LONGITUDE 28.4 WEST OR ABOUT 300
MILES…480 KM…WEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.
MELISSA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH…13 KM/HR…AND
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 40 MPH…65 KM/HR…WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES…110 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB…29.68 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 1100 AM AST POSITION…15.2 N…28.4 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD…NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…40 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1005 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 PM AST.
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
—–
——–
AUTHOR: blazin9635
TITLE: SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION 10 HAS NOW FORMED IN THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO !!!
DATE: 09/21/2007 17:46:55
STATUS: publish
BODY:
NHC: "By WNW movement and landfall in Alabama later, we mean NNW movement and Fort Walton Beach now !!!"
SATURDAY: MOSTLY SUNNY AND NICE LO: 64 HI: 84
SUNDAY: SUNNY AND BEAUTIFUL LO: 62 HI: 82
MONDAY: SUNNY AND COOLER LO: 58 HI: 78
TUESDAY: MOSTLY SUNNY AND A LITTLE WARMER LO: 63 HI: 83
WEDNESDAY: PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY AS OUR NEXT COLD FRONT ARRIVES FROM THE WEST LO: 58 HI: 76
FORECASTER: SCHLEY
—–
COMMENT:
AUTHOR: A Yahoo! user
DATE: 09/21/2007 17:52:20
739
WTNT35 KNHC 212348
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 2A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102007
700 PM CDT FRI SEP 21 2007
…TROPICAL DEPRESSION COMING ONSHORE…DID NOT STRENGTHEN…
AT 700 PM CDT…0000 UTC…THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE GULF
COAST HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA…INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS…PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 700 PM CDT…0000Z…THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN WAS
ALMOST ONSHORE NEAR LATITUDE 30.4 NORTH…LONGITUDE 86.7 WEST…
NEAR FORT WALTON BEACH FLORIDA.
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT…BRINGING THE CENTER OF THE
DEPRESSION FARTHER INLAND.
RADAR AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT THE DEPRESSION HAS NOT
STRENGTHENED AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 35 MPH…55
KM/HR…IN A FEW SQUALLS…WITH HIGHER GUSTS. A GRADUAL WEAKENING
SHOULD BEGIN TONIGHT AFTER THE CENTER MOVES FARTHER INLAND.
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 1005 MB…29.68 INCHES.
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES…WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM
AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES…CAN BE EXPECTED IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE
DEPRESSION.
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHWESTERN GEORGIA…THE
FLORIDA PANHANDLE…AND SOUTHEASTERN ALABAMA THROUGH TONIGHT.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS
CAN BE EXPECTED IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW TONIGHT.
REPEATING THE 700 PM CDT POSITION…30.4 N…86.7 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD…NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…35
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1005 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1000 PM CDT.
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
—–
——–
AUTHOR: blazin9635
TITLE: TWO TROPICAL STORMS BUT STILL NO SIGNIFIGANT DENT IN MARYLAND'S NEARLY 7 INCH RAINFALL DROUGHT !!!
DATE: 09/12/2007 18:57:18
STATUS: publish
BODY:
THURSDAY: MOSTLY SUNNY AND COOL LO: 58 HI: 82
FRIDAY: PARTLY CLOUDY AND COOLER LO: 55 HI: 78
SATURDAY: MOSTLY SUNNY AND FALL LIKE LO: 52 HI: 74
SUNDAY: MOSTLY SUNNY AND CHILLY LO: 49 HI: 69
MONDAY: PARTLY CLOUDY AND A LITTLE WARMER LO: 57 HI: 77
FORECASTER: SCHLEY
—–
COMMENT:
AUTHOR: A Yahoo! user
DATE: 09/12/2007 19:00:03
051
WTNT34 KNHC 122345
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM HUMBERTO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 2A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092007
700 PM CDT WED SEP 12 2007
…RAIN BANDS OF HUMBERTO SPREADING OVER THE UPPER TEXAS COAST…
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM PORT O'CONNOR TEXAS TO
INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA…INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS…PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 700 PM CDT…0000Z…THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HUMBERTO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.8 NORTH…LONGITUDE 94.8 WEST OR ABOUT 35
MILES… 55 KM…SOUTH OF GALVESTON TEXAS.
HUMBERTO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH…11 KM/HR.
THIS DIRECTION OF MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A GRADUAL
INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK…THE CENTER OF HUMBERTO SHOULD BE CROSSING THE UPPER TEXAS
COAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA LATER TONIGHT OR EARLY ON THURSDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH…85 KM/HR…WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED PRIOR TO LANDFALL.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES…95 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 998 MB…29.47 INCHES.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE TRACK OF
HUMBERTO THROUGH EASTERN TEXAS AS WELL AS WESTERN AND CENTRAL
LOUISIANA…WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM ACCUMULATIONS OF 15 INCHES
POSSIBLE.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS
CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES
LANDFALL.
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS AND
SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA TONIGHT.
REPEATING THE 700 PM CDT POSITION…28.8 N…94.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD…NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…50
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…998 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1000 PM CDT.
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
—–
COMMENT:
AUTHOR: A Yahoo! user
DATE: 09/12/2007 19:00:26
993
WTNT33 KNHC 122034
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082007
500 PM AST WED SEP 12 2007
…DEPRESSION APPROACHING TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH…
AT 500 PM AST…2100Z…THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.5 NORTH…LONGITUDE 45.5 WEST OR ABOUT 1065
MILES…1715 KM…EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES.
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH…
19 KM/HR…AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH SOME
DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH…55 KM/HR…WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND
THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM TONIGHT OR THURSDAY.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB…29.71 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 500 PM AST POSITION…13.5 N…45.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD…WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…35
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1006 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 PM AST.
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
—–
COMMENT:
AUTHOR: A Yahoo! user
DATE: 09/13/2007 05:37:09
720
WTNT34 KNHC 131148
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
HURRICANE HUMBERTO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 5A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092007
700 AM CDT THU SEP 13 2007
…HURRICANE HUMBERTO ENTERING SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA…
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM EAST OF HIGH ISLAND TEXAS
TO CAMERON LOUISIANA.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM EAST OF CAMERON TO
INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA.
THESE COASTAL WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE LOWERED LATER THIS MORNING.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA…INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS…PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 700 AM CDT…THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HUMBERTO WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 30.3 NORTH…LONGITUDE 93.6 WEST OR ALONG THE TEXAS-
LOUISIANA BORDER ABOUT 25 MILES… 35 KM…WEST-NORTHWEST OF LAKE
CHARLES LOUISIANA.
HUMBERTO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 12 MPH…19 KM/HR
…AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS…BRINGING THE CENTER OF HUMBERTO ACROSS CENTRAL LOUISIANA
TODAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH…130 KM/HR…WITH HIGHER
GUSTS…CONFINED TO A VERY SMALL AREA NEAR THE CENTER. HUMBERTO IS
A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. HUMBERTO IS
EXPECTED TO WEAKEN DURING THE DAY TODAY AS IT MOVES FARTHER INLAND.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES…30
KM…NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER…AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES…95 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 987 MB…29.15 INCHES.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS MUCH OF
LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI…AS WELL AS EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN
ARKANSAS…WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM ACCUMULATIONS OF 15 INCHES
POSSIBLE.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING WILL BE SUBSIDING TODAY.
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE IN SOUTHERN LOUISIANA THROUGH THIS
AFTERNOON.
REPEATING THE 700 AM CDT POSITION…30.3 N…93.6 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD…NORTHEAST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…80
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…987 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 1000 AM CDT.
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN/BROWN
—–
COMMENT:
AUTHOR: A Yahoo! user
DATE: 09/13/2007 17:37:46
BASED ON OPERATIONAL ESTIMATES… HUMBERTO STRENGTHENED FROM A 30 KT DEPRESSION AT 15Z YESTERDAY TO A 75 KT HURRICANE AT 09Z THIS MORNING… AN INCREASE OF 45 KT IN 18 HOURS. TO PUT THIS DEVELOPMENT IN PERSPECTIVE.. .NO TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE HISTORICAL RECORD HAS EVER REACHED THIS INTENSITY AT A FASTER RATE NEAR LANDFALL. IT WOULD BE NICE TO KNOW… SOMEDAY… WHY THIS HAPPENED.
—–
COMMENT:
AUTHOR: A Yahoo! user
DATE: 09/14/2007 10:53:42
670
WTNT33 KNHC 141433
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM INGRID ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082007
1100 AM AST FRI SEP 14 2007
…INGRID MOVING SLOWLY OVER OPEN WATERS…TEMPORARILY
STRENGTHENS…
AT 1100 AM AST…1500Z…THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM INGRID WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.2 NORTH…LONGITUDE 50.0 WEST OR ABOUT 755
MILES…1210 KM…EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES.
INGRID IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH…11 KM/HR.
THIS SLOW MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS
WITH A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTHWEST.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 45 MPH…75
KM/HR…WITH HIGHER GUSTS. HOWEVER…INGRID SHOULD WEAKEN SOME
DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES…85 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE MEASURED BY A NOAA RECONNAISSANCE PLANE WAS
1004 MB…29.65 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 1100 AM AST POSITION…15.2 N…50.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD…WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…45
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1004 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 PM AST.
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
—–
COMMENT:
AUTHOR: A Yahoo! user
DATE: 09/14/2007 18:22:40
707
WTNT33 KNHC 142023
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM INGRID ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082007
500 PM AST FRI SEP 14 2007
…INGRID FORECAST TO REMAIN OUT TO SEA AND WEAKEN…
AT 500 PM AST…2100Z…THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM INGRID WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.6 NORTH…LONGITUDE 50.6 WEST OR ABOUT 710
MILES…1145 KM…EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES.
INGRID IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH…13 KM/HR…AND
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH…65 KM/HR…WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED TODAY BUT A
GRADUAL WEAKENING IS ANTICIPATED ON SATURDAY.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES…85 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB…29.65 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 500 PM AST POSITION…15.6 N…50.6 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD…NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…40 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1004 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 PM AST.
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
—–
COMMENT:
AUTHOR: A Yahoo! user
DATE: 09/15/2007 19:38:31
642
WTNT33 KNHC 160229
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION INGRID ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082007
1100 PM AST SAT SEP 15 2007
…LITTLE CHANGE WITH INGRID…
AT 1100 PM AST…0300Z…THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION INGRID
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.9 NORTH…LONGITUDE 55.7 WEST OR ABOUT
405 MILES…650 KM…EAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS.
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH…16
KM/HR…AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH…55 KM/HR…WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SLOW WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB…29.71 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 1100 PM AST POSITION…16.9 N…55.7 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD…WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…35
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1006 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 AM AST.
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
—–
COMMENT:
AUTHOR: A Yahoo! user
DATE: 09/21/2007 10:42:50
891
ABNT20 KNHC 211529
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1130 AM EDT FRI SEP 21 2007
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC…CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO…
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER HAS INITIATED ADVISORIES ON
SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN…LOCATED ABOUT 45 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
APALACHICOLA FLORIDA.
SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA ARE
ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH. DEVELOPMENT OF THIS
SYSTEM…IF ANY…IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR AS IT MOVES
SLOWLY WESTWARD.
A NEARLY STATIONARY NON-TROPICAL LOW LOCATED OVER THE CENTRAL
ATLANTIC ABOUT 1100 MILES EAST OF BERMUDA HAS CHANGED LITTLE SINCE
YESTERDAY…BUT IS STILL BEING MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF TROPICAL
DEVELOPMENT.
ELSEWHERE…TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.
$$
FORECASTER KNABB