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ANOTHER HOT DAY ON TAP FOR THURSDAY BUT THEN A FALL LIKE WEEKEND IS ON THE WAY !!! DATE: 08/15/2007

*** TROPICAL STORMS ERIN AND DEAN ARE BOTH STILL ALIVE ***

THURSDAY: PARTLY CLOUDY BUT VERY HOT AND HUMID LO: 73 HI: 96

FRIDAY: PARTLY CLOUDY BUT NOT AS HOT AND HUMID LO: 67 HI: 90

SATURDAY: PARTLY CLOUDY AND MUCH COOLER WITH A FEW SCATTERED AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND OR THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE LO: 62 HI: 84

SUNDAY: MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH COOLER CONDITIONS AND ALSO SOME LIGHT RAIN FROM TIME TO TIME LO: 56 HI: 76

MONDAY: PARTLY CLOUDY AND A LITTLE WARMER WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR AN AFTERNOON OR EVENING THUNDERSTORM LO: 54 HI: 79

FORECASTER: SCHLEY

—– COMMENT: AUTHOR: A Yahoo! user DATE: 08/15/2007 21:25:59 492 WTNT35 KNHC 160235 TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ERIN ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052007 1000 PM CDT WED AUG 15 2007

…ERIN APPROACHES THE TEXAS COAST WITH NO CHANGE IN STRENGTH…

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE TEXAS COAST FROM SAN LUIS PASS SOUTHWARD TO BROWNSVILLE. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA…INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS…PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 1000 PM CDT…0300Z…THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ERIN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.5 NORTH…LONGITUDE 95.7 WEST OR ABOUT 140 MILES…220 KM…SOUTHEAST OF CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS AND ABOUT 200 MILES…325 KM…SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF GALVESTON TEXAS.

ERIN IS MOVING ERRATICALLY TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH…22 KM/HR… AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE CENTER OF ERIN IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY NEAR THE TEXAS COAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA TOMORROW MORNING.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH…65 KM/HR…WITH HIGHER GUSTS. A LITTLE STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE PRIOR TO LANDFALL.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES…140 KM TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE MEASURED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 1004 MB…29.65 INCHES.

TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS MUCH OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN TEXAS…WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES POSSIBLE.

STORM SURGE OF 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS MAY BE EXPERIENCED IN A FEW COASTAL LOCATIONS TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE MIDDLE TEXAS GULF COAST ON THURSDAY.

REPEATING THE 1000 PM CDT POSITION…26.5 N…95.7 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD…WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1004 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 100 AM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 400 AM CDT.

$$ FORECASTER FRANKLIN

—– COMMENT: AUTHOR: A Yahoo! user DATE: 08/15/2007 21:26:25 476 WTNT34 KNHC 160241 TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM DEAN ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042007 1100 PM AST WED AUG 15 2007

…DEAN STRENGTHENS…HURRICANE WATCHES ISSUED IN THE LESSER ANTILLES…

AT 11 PM AST…0300 UTC…HURRICANE WATCHES HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS BY THEIR RESPECTIVE GOVERNMENTS…ST. LUCIA… MARTINIQUE…GUADELOUPE AND ITS DEPENDENCIES…SABA…AND ST. EUSTATIUS. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA…GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

AT 11 PM AST…0300 UTC…THE GOVERNMENT OF THE NETHERLANDS ANTILLES HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR ST. MAARTEN. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA…GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

ADDITIONAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED TOMORROW MORNING.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA…PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 1100 PM AST…0300Z…THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DEAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.1 NORTH…LONGITUDE 50.2 WEST OR ABOUT 625 MILES…1005 KM…EAST OF BARBADOS.

DEAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 23 MPH…37 KM/HR…AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH…110 KM/HR…WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND DEAN IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE ON THURSDAY. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WILL INVESTIGATE DEAN TOMORROW AFTERNOON.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES…110 KM FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 991 MB…29.26 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 1100 PM AST POSITION…13.1 N…50.2 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD…WEST NEAR 23 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…70 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…991 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 200 AM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500 AM AST.

$$ FORECASTER BROWN

—– COMMENT: AUTHOR: A Yahoo! user DATE: 08/16/2007 17:21:32 701 WTNT34 KNHC 162355 TCPAT4 BULLETIN HURRICANE DEAN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 14A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042007 800 PM AST THU AUG 16 2007

…OUTER BANDS OF DEAN MOVING THROUGH THE WINDWARD ISLANDS…

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLANDS OF ST. LUCIA…MARTINIQUE…DOMINICA…AND GUADELOUPE AND ITS DEPENDENCIES. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

AT 800 PM AST…0000 UTC…THE METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE OF ANTIGUA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE ISLAND OF ANGUILLA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING ISLANDS OF THE LESSER ANTILLES…GRENADA AND ITS DEPENDENCIES…ST. VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES…BARBADOS…SABA…ST. EUSTATIUS… MONSERRAT…ANTIGUA…NEVIS…ST KITTS…BARBUDA AND ST. MAARTEN.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO.

ADDITIONAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE LIKELY LATER THIS EVENING.

INTERESTS IN THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN CARIBBEAN SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF DEAN.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA…INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS…PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 800 PM AST…0000Z…THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DEAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.0 NORTH…LONGITUDE 57.8 WEST OR ABOUT 205 MILES…330 KM…EAST OF MARTINIQUE.

DEAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 23 MPH…37 KM/HR…AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT AND TOMORROW. ON THIS TRACK…THE CENTER OF DEAN WILL BE CROSSING THE LESSER ANTILLES EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH…160 KM/HR…WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DEAN IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. STRONGER WINDS…ESPECIALLY IN GUSTS…ARE LIKELY OVER ELEVATED TERRAIN. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST BEFORE THE HURRICANE REACHES THE LESSER ANTILLES. A WIND GUST OF 58 MPH WAS RECENTLY REPORTED IN ST. LUCIA IN ONE OF THE OUTER RAINBANDS OF DEAN.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES…30 KM…FROM THE CENTER. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150 MILES…240 KM…FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 979 MB…28.91 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS… ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES…IS POSSIBLE NEAR THE CENTER OF DEAN.

STORM TOTAL RAINFALLS OF 2 TO 5 INCHES…WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 7 INCHES IN MOUNTAINOUS AREAS…ARE POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH DEAN. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.

REPEATING THE 800 PM AST POSITION…14.0 N…57.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD…WEST NEAR 23 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…100 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…979 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 1100 PM AST.

$$ FORECASTER FRANKLIN/BROWN

—– COMMENT: AUTHOR: A Yahoo! user DATE: 08/16/2007 20:18:03 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH UNTIL 6:00AM EDT Issued: Thursday, August 16, 2007 11:05 PM EDT Expires: Friday, August 17, 2007 6:00 AM EDT

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH UNTIL 6:00AM EDT Sel1 spc Ww 170308

Urgent – Immediate Broadcast Requested Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 611 Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok 1105 PM EDT Thu Aug 16 2007

The Nws Storm Prediction Center Has Issued A Severe Thunderstorm Watch For Portions Of

District Of Columbia Delaware Much Of Maryland Northern And Eastern Virginia The Eastern West Virginia Panhandle Coastal Waters

Effective This Thursday Night And Friday Morning From 1105 PM Until 600 AM EDT.

Hail To 1 Inch In Diameter…Thunderstorm Wind Gusts To 70 Mph…And Dangerous Lightning Are Possible In These Areas.

The Severe Thunderstorm Watch Area Is Approximately Along And 85 Statute Miles East And West Of A Line From 25 Miles North Northeast Of Martinsburg West Virginia To 35 Miles South Of Wallops Virginia. For A Complete Depiction Of The Watch See The Associated Watch Outline Update (wous64 Kwns Wou1).

Remember…A Severe Thunderstorm Watch Means Conditions Are Favorable For Severe Thunderstorms In And Close To The Watch Area. Persons In These Areas Should Be On The Lookout For Threatening Weather Conditions And Listen For Later Statements And Possible Warnings. Severe Thunderstorms Can And Occasionally Do Produce Tornadoes.

Other Watch Information…This Severe Thunderstorm Watch Replaces Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 606. Watch Number 606 Will Not Be In Effect After 1105 PM EDT.

Discussion…Sctd Clusters Of Multicell Tstms With The Potential For Isold Wet Microbursts Expected To Persist Through Early Friday As WV Mcv Continues Ewd In Relatively Fast Wly Flow On Srn Side Of Amplifying Ontario Trough.

Aviation…A Few Severe Thunderstorms With Hail Surface And Aloft To 1 Inch. Extreme Turbulence And Surface Wind Gusts To 60 Knots. A Few Cumulonimbi With Maximum Tops To 500. Mean Storm Motion Vector 28025.

…Corfidi

—– COMMENT: AUTHOR: A Yahoo! user DATE: 08/17/2007 17:43:44 115 WTNT34 KNHC 180004 TCPAT4 BULLETIN HURRICANE DEAN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 19A…CORRECTED NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042007 800 PM AST FRI AUG 17 2007

…CORRECTED MAXIMUM WIND SPEED TO 135 MPH…

…DEAN REACHES CATEGORY FOUR STRENGTH AS ITS CENTER PASSES SOUTH OF THE VIRGIN ISLANDS…

AT 800 PM AST…0000 UTC…THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING ALONG PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM BARAHONA WESTWARD TO THE HAITI/DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER…AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM CABO ENGANO WESTWARD TO BARAHONA. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUADELOUPE AND ITS DEPENDENCIES. THIS WARNING WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER TONIGHT.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING ISLANDS OF THE LESSER ANTILLES…MONTSERRAT…ANTIGUA…NEVIS…ST KITTS…BARBUDA…AND ANGUILLA AND THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS. THE WARNING WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER TONIGHT.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR HAITI FROM THE HAITI/DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER TO PORT-AU-PRINCE.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA… GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN CUBA…FROM THE PROVINCE OF CAMAGUEY EASTWARD TO THE PROVINCE OF GUANTANAMO. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA…GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN CARIBBEAN…INCLUDING WESTERN CUBA…THE CAYMAN ISLANDS…AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF DEAN.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA…INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS…PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 800 PM AST…0000Z…THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DEAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.9 NORTH…LONGITUDE 65.1 WEST OR ABOUT 800 MILES… 1290 KM…EAST-SOUTHEAST OF KINGSTON JAMAICA AND ABOUT 255 MILES… 410 KM…SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO.

DEAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 19 MPH…31 KM/HR. THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY WITH A GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THIS TRACK…THE CORE OF THE HURRICANE WILL BE MOVING WELL SOUTH OF PUERTO RICO TONIGHT.

REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO AT LEAST 135 MPH…215 KM/HR…WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DEAN IS NOW A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES…45 KM…FROM THE CENTER…AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185 MILES…295 KM.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE JUST REPORTED BY THE AIRCRAFT WAS 946 MB…27.93 INCHES.

STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED FROM DEAN OVER PUERTO RICO…THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND HAITI WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS UP TO 5 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.

REPEATING THE 800 PM AST POSITION…14.9 N…65.1 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD…WEST NEAR 19 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…135 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…946 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 1100 PM AST.

$$ FORECASTER KNABB

—– COMMENT: AUTHOR: A Yahoo! user DATE: 08/17/2007 19:57:26 107 WTNT34 KNHC 180247 TCPAT4 BULLETIN HURRICANE DEAN ADVISORY NUMBER 20 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042007 1100 PM AST FRI AUG 17 2007

…CATEGORY FOUR DEAN INTENSIFYING OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN…

AT 11 PM AST…A HURRICANE WARNING IS ISSUED FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN PENINSULA OF HAITI…FROM THE HAITI/DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER TO PORT-AU-PRINCE…AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ISSUED FROM PORT-AU-PRINCE TO THE NORTHERN HAITI/DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER.

AT 11 PM AST…THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR GUADELOUPE AND ITS DEPENDENCIES HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED…AND ALL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED FOR THE FOLLOWING ISLANDS OF THE LESSER ANTILLES…MONTSERRAT…ANTIGUA…NEVIS…ST KITTS…BARBUDA…AND ANGUILLA.

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM BARAHONA WESTWARD TO THE HAITI-DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS….U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO. THESE WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED ON SATURDAY MORNING.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE SOUTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO WESTWARD TO BARAHONA.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA…GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF CUBA…FROM THE PROVINCE OF CAMAGUEY EASTWARD TO THE PROVINCE OF GUANTANAMO. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA…GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN CARIBBEAN…INCLUDING WESTERN CUBA…THE CAYMAN ISLANDS…AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO…SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF DEAN.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA…INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS…PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 1100 PM AST…0300Z…THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DEAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.9 NORTH…LONGITUDE 65.9 WEST OR ABOUT 755 MILES… 1210 KM…EAST-SOUTHEAST OF KINGSTON JAMAICA AND ABOUT 240 MILES… 390 KM…SOUTH OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO.

DEAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 18 MPH…30 KM/HR…AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK…THE CORE OF THE HURRICANE WILL BE MOVING WELL SOUTH OF PUERTO RICO TONIGHT AND SOUTH OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC EARLY SATURDAY.

DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 145 MPH…230 KM/HR…WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DEAN IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES…95 KM…FROM THE CENTER…AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES…335 KM.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE JUST REPORTED BY THE AIRCRAFT WAS 937 MB…27.67 INCHES.

STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED FROM DEAN OVER PUERTO RICO…THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND HAITI WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS UP TO 5 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES

REPEATING THE 1100 PM AST POSITION…14.9 N…65.9 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD…WEST NEAR 18 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…145 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…937 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 200 AM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500 AM AST.

$$ FORECASTER KNABB

—– COMMENT: AUTHOR: A Yahoo! user DATE: 08/17/2007 23:04:49 771 WTNT34 KNHC 180548 TCPAT4 BULLETIN HURRICANE DEAN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 20A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042007 200 AM AST SAT AUG 18 2007

…EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY FOUR DEAN CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY WHILE PASSING SOUTH OF PUERTO RICO…

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM BARAHONA WESTWARD TO THE HAITI-DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA… GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS….U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO. THESE WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER THIS MORNING. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE SOUTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO WESTWARD TO BARAHONA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF CUBA…FROM THE PROVINCE OF CAMAGUEY EASTWARD TO THE PROVINCE OF GUANTANAMO. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA…GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN CARIBBEAN…INCLUDING WESTERN CUBA…THE CAYMAN ISLANDS…AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO…SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF DEAN.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA…INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS…PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 200 AM AST…0600Z…THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DEAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.0 NORTH…LONGITUDE 66.7 WEST OR ABOUT 700 MILES… 1125 KM…EAST-SOUTHEAST OF KINGSTON JAMAICA AND ABOUT 240 MILES… 390 KM…SOUTH OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO.

DEAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 18 MPH…30 KM/HR…AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK…THE CORE OF THE HURRICANE WILL BE MOVING WELL SOUTH OF PUERTO RICO TONIGHT AND SOUTH OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC LATER TODAY.

REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 150 MPH… 240 KM/HR…WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DEAN IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES…95 KM…FROM THE CENTER…AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES…335 KM.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE JUST REPORTED BY THE AIRCRAFT WAS 930 MB…27.46 INCHES.

STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED FROM DEAN OVER PUERTO RICO…THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND HAITI WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS UP TO 5 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES

REPEATING THE 200 AM AST POSITION…15.0 N…66.7 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD…WEST NEAR 18 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…150 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…930 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 500 AM AST.

$$ FORECASTER BEVEN

—– COMMENT: AUTHOR: A Yahoo! user DATE: 08/18/2007 02:51:37 294 WTNT34 KNHC 180925 TCPAT4 BULLETIN HURRICANE DEAN ADVISORY NUMBER 21…CORRECTED NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042007 500 AM AST SAT AUG 18 2007

…CORRECTED TO ADD WARNINGS ON HISPANIOLA…

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM BARAHONA WESTWARD TO THE HAITI-DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER…AND FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN PENINSULA OF HAITI FROM THE HAITI-DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER TO PORT-AU PRINCE. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA. A HURRICANE WARNING WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR JAMAICA LATER THIS MORNING. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA…GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS….U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO. THESE WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED ON SATURDAY MORNING. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE SOUTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO WESTWARD TO BARAHONA…AND FOR COAST OF HAITI NORTH OF PORT-AU-PRINCE TO THE NORTHERN HAITI-DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF CUBA…FROM THE PROVINCE OF CAMAGUEY EASTWARD TO THE PROVINCE OF GUANTANAMO. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA…GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN CARIBBEAN…INCLUDING WESTERN CUBA…THE CAYMAN ISLANDS…AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO…SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF DEAN.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA…INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS…PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 500 AM AST…0900Z…THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DEAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.1 NORTH…LONGITUDE 67.3 WEST OR ABOUT 660 MILES… 1065 KM…EAST-SOUTHEAST OF KINGSTON JAMAICA AND ABOUT 240 MILES… 390 KM…SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO.

DEAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 17 MPH…28 KM/HR. A GENERAL WESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK…THE CORE OF THE HURRICANE WILL BE MOVING SOUTH OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC LATER TODAY AND SOUTH OF HAITI TONIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 150 MPH…240 KM/HR…WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DEAN IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO REACH DEAN IN A FEW HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES…95 KM…FROM THE CENTER…AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES…335 KM. NOAA BUOY 42059 RECENTLY REPORTED A 1-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND OF 59 MPH.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 930 MB…27.46 INCHES.

STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED FROM DEAN OVER PUERTO RICO…THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND HAITI WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS UP TO 5 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.

REPEATING THE 500 AM AST POSITION…15.1 N…67.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD…WEST NEAR 17 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…150 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…930 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 800 AM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100 AM AST.

$$ FORECASTER BEVEN

—– COMMENT: AUTHOR: A Yahoo! user DATE: 08/18/2007 14:44:24 592 WTNT34 KNHC 182024 TCPAT4 BULLETIN HURRICANE DEAN ADVISORY NUMBER 23 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042007 500 PM AST SAT AUG 18 2007

…OUTER FRINGES OF HURRICANE DEAN LASHING THE SOUTH COAST OF HISPANIOLA…

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM BARAHONA WESTWARD TO THE HAITI-DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER…AND FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN PENINSULA OF HAITI FROM THE HAITI-DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER TO PORT-AU-PRINCE. A HURRICANE WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS STILL IN EFFECT ALONG THE SOUTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO WESTWARD TO BARAHONA…AND FOR COAST OF HAITI NORTH OF PORT-AU-PRINCE TO THE NORTHERN HAITI-DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF CUBA…FROM THE PROVINCE OF CAMAGUEY EASTWARD TO THE PROVINCE OF GUANTANAMO. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA…GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN…INCLUDING WESTERN CUBA AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA…SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF DEAN.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA…PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 500 PM AST…2100Z…THE EYE OF HURRICANE DEAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.1 NORTH…LONGITUDE 70.2 WEST OR ABOUT 455 MILES… 735 KM…EAST-SOUTHEAST OF KINGSTON JAMAICA AND ABOUT 165 MILES… 270 KM…SOUTH OF SANTO DOMINGO IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC.

DEAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH…30 KM/HR… AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK…THE CORE OF THE HURRICANE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SOUTH OF HISPANIOLA TODAY AND WILL BE NEAR JAMAICA ON SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 150 MPH…240 KM/HR…WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DEAN IS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE LIKELY DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES…110 KM…FROM THE CENTER…AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES…370 KM. PUNTA CANA IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS BEEN EXPERIENCING TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS FOR THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 930 MB…27.46 INCHES.

STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED OVER JAMAICA…WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 20 INCHES POSSIBLE. AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHERN HAITI WITH MAXIMUM TOTALS OF 10 INCHES POSSIBLE. THE REMAINDER OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC…HAITI AND EASTERN CUBA…COULD RECEIVE 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS UP TO 7 INCHES POSSIBLE. ADDITIONAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PUERTO RICO…WITH ISOLATED STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 5 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 7 TO 9 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS…ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES…IS POSSIBLE NEAR THE CENTER OF DEAN IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA.

REPEATING THE 500 PM AST POSITION…16.1 N…70.2 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD…WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…150 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…930 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 800 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100 PM AST.

$$ FORECASTER AVILA

—– COMMENT: AUTHOR: A Yahoo! user DATE: 08/18/2007 17:32:28 209 WTNT34 KNHC 182359 TCPAT4 BULLETIN HURRICANE DEAN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 23A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042007 800 PM AST SAT AUG 18 2007

…CENTER OF DEAN PASSING SOUTH OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC…

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM BARAHONA WESTWARD TO THE HAITI-DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER…AND FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN PENINSULA OF HAITI FROM THE HAITI-DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER TO PORT-AU-PRINCE. A HURRICANE WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS STILL IN EFFECT ALONG THE SOUTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO WESTWARD TO BARAHONA…AND FOR COAST OF HAITI NORTH OF PORT-AU-PRINCE TO THE NORTHERN HAITI-DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF CUBA…FROM THE PROVINCE OF CAMAGUEY EASTWARD TO THE PROVINCE OF GUANTANAMO. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA…GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN…INCLUDING WESTERN CUBA AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA…SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF DEAN.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA…PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 800 PM AST…0000Z…THE EYE OF HURRICANE DEAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.0 NORTH…LONGITUDE 71.0 WEST OR ABOUT 405 MILES… 650 KM…EAST-SOUTHEAST OF KINGSTON JAMAICA AND ABOUT 165 MILES… 265 KM…SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SANTO DOMINGO IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC.

DEAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 17 MPH…28 KM/HR…AND A WESTWARD OR WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK…THE CORE OF THE HURRICANE WILL PASS JUST SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN COAST OF HAITI TONIGHT AND WILL BE NEAR JAMAICA ON SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 150 MPH…240 KM/HR…WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DEAN IS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES…110 KM…FROM THE CENTER…AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES…370 KM. PUNTA CANA IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS BEEN EXPERIENCING TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE JUST REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 920 MB…27.17 INCHES.

STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED OVER JAMAICA…WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 20 INCHES POSSIBLE. AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHERN HAITI WITH MAXIMUM TOTALS OF 10 INCHES POSSIBLE. THE REMAINDER OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC…HAITI AND EASTERN CUBA…COULD RECEIVE 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS UP TO 7 INCHES POSSIBLE. ADDITIONAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PUERTO RICO…WITH ISOLATED STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 5 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 7 TO 9 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS…ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES…IS POSSIBLE NEAR THE CENTER OF DEAN IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA.

REPEATING THE 800 PM AST POSITION…16.0 N…71.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD…WEST NEAR 17 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…150 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…920 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 1100 PM AST.

$$ FORECASTER KNABB

—– ——– AUTHOR: blazin9635 TITLE: NOT AS HOT BUT STILL VERY DRY AS TROPICAL DEPRESSION 4 HAS FORMED IN THE ATLANTIC !!! DATE: 08/13/2007 13:40:16 STATUS: publish BODY:

MONDAY: MOSTLY SUNNY AND NOT AS HOT LO: 68 HI: 90

TUESDAY: MOSTLY SUNNY AND VERY WARM LO: 64 HI: 87

WEDNESDAY: PARTLY CLOUDY AND WARMER LO: 69 HI: 92

THURSDAY: PARTLY CLOUDY HOT AND HUMID WITH SOME HAZE AND A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR A LATE DAY STORM LO: 72 HI: 95

FRIDAY: PARTLY CLOUDY NOT AS HOT AND A LITTLE LESS HUMID AS WELL WITH AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM OR TWO POSSIBLE LO: 69 HI: 92

FORECASTER: SCHLEY

—– COMMENT: AUTHOR: A Yahoo! user DATE: 08/14/2007 20:17:23 955 WTNT34 KNHC 150247 TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM DEAN ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042007 1100 PM AST TUE AUG 14 2007

…DEAN A LITTLE STRONGER…

INTERESTS IN THE LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF DEAN.

AT 1100 PM AST…0300Z…THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DEAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.0 NORTH…LONGITUDE 42.3 WEST OR ABOUT 1295 MILES…2085 KM…EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES.

DEAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 18 MPH…30 KM/HR…AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH…85 KM/HR…WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES…85 KM FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB…29.53 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 1100 PM AST POSITION…12.0 N…42.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD…WEST NEAR 18 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1000 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 500 AM AST.

$$ FORECASTER BROWN

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