TODAY: MOSTLY CLOUDY AND WARM WITH SOME HAZE BUT ALSO HIGHER HUMIDITY LEVELS ALONG WITH WIDELY SCATTERED AFTERNOON STORMS IN SOME AREAS BUT IF IT WERE A BET I THINK I WOULD BET AGAINST THE SHOWERS AND STORMS THRU ATLEAST THIS EVENING LO: 69 HI: 79
THURSDAY: MOSTLY CLOUDY AND WARM WITH HUMID AND HAZY CONDITIONS PERSISTING PLUS WE HAVE A MUCH GREATER CHANCE FOR MORE WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND STORMS TO DEVELOP FROM TIME TO TIME LO: 66 HI: 76
FRIDAY: PARTLY CLOUDY AND STILL WARM WITH A VERY SLIGHT AND ALMOST NON-EXISTANT CHANCE OF SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS LO: 69 HI: 79
SATURDAY: PARTLY CLOUDY AND WARMER WITH AN ISOLATED LATE DAY STORM POSSIBLE BUT I WOULD NOT SUGGEST THAT YOU PUT ANY MONEY ON IT AS I TRUELY THINK THAT IT WILL STAY DRY ACROSS MOST OF NORTH CENTRAL MARYLAND LO: 72 HI: 84
SUNDAY: SUNNY AND VERY NICE LO: 74 HI: 88
"WEATHER OR NOT"
FORECASTER: SCHLEY
—– COMMENT: AUTHOR: A Yahoo! user DATE: 08/27/2008 10:54:04 TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM GUSTAV ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072008 1100 AM EDT WED AUG 27 2008
…GUSTAV STILL BRINGING HEAVY RAINS AND SQUALLS TO PORTIONS OF HAITI…
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR HAITI FROM THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC-HAITI BORDER WESTWARD TO LE MOLE ST NICHOLAS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
AT 11 AM EDT…1500 UTC…THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE NORTH COAST OF HAITI EAST OF LE MOLE ST NICHOLAS IS DISCONTINUED.
A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING ARE IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA.
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CUBA FOR THE PROVINCES OF GUANTANAMO…SANTIAGO DE CUBA…AND GRANMA.
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF LAS TUNAS AND HOLGUIN AND ALL OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.
INTERESTS IN CENTRAL AND WESTERN CUBA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF GUSTAV.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA…INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS…PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 1100 AM EDT…1500Z…THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GUSTAV WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.8 NORTH…LONGITUDE 74.0 WEST OR ABOUT 110 MILES…180 KM…WEST OF PORT AU PRINCE HAITI AND ABOUT 125 MILES… 200 KM…SOUTHEAST OF GUANTANAMO CUBA.
GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH…7 KM/HR. A WEST-NORTHWEST TO WEST TRACK IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THE FORECAST TRACK…GUSTAV SHOULD PASS BETWEEN JAMAICA AND THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF CUBA ON THURSDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH…95 KM/HR…WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SLOW STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST ONCE GUSTAV MOVES AWAY FROM HAITI…AND THE STORM COULD REGAIN HURRICANE STRENGTH WITHIN THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES…85 KM FROM THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB…29.44 INCHES.
GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES OVER HISPANIOLA…EASTERN CUBA…JAMAICA…AND THE CAYMAN ISLANDS…WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 25 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES CAN BE EXPECTED IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS IN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA.
REPEATING THE 1100 AM EDT POSITION…18.8 N…74.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD…WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…997 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 200 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500 PM EDT.
$$ FORECASTER PASCH —– COMMENT: AUTHOR: A Yahoo! user DATE: 08/28/2008 15:00:19 TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM GUSTAV ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072008 500 PM EDT THU AUG 28 2008
…GUSTAV MOVING ACROSS JAMAICA…
AT 500 PM EDT…2100 UTC…THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR WESTERN CUBA…FOR THE PROVINCES OF ISLA DE JUVENTUD…PINAR DEL RIO…LA HABANA…AND CIUDAD DE LA HABANA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED FOR THE PROVINCE OF MATANZAS. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA…GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA…GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCE OF GRANMA.
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN CENTRAL AND WESTERN CUBA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF GUSTAV.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA…INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS…PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 500 PM EDT…2100Z…THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GUSTAV WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.1 NORTH…LONGITUDE 76.6 WEST OR ABOUT 15 MILES… 25 KM…EAST-NORTHEAST OF KINGSTON JAMAICA AND ABOUT 310 MILES…505 KM…EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GRAND CAYMAN.
GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 6 MPH…9 KM/HR. A TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND NORTHWEST IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THIS TRACK…THE CENTER OF GUSTAV WILL CROSS JAMAICA TONIGHT…AND MOVE NEAR OR OVER THE CAYMAN ISLANDS FRIDAY OR FRIDAY NIGHT.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH…110 KM/HR…WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS POSSIBLE TONIGHT WHILE GUSTAV CROSSES JAMAICA…BUT STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST ON FRIDAY AND SATURDAY…AND GUSTAV COULD BECOME A HURRICANE BY TOMORROW.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES…75 KM FROM THE CENTER.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON EARLIER AIRCRAFT DATA IS 985 MB…29.09 INCHES.
GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES ACROSS JAMAICA AND THE CAYMAN ISLANDS…WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 25 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHERN CUBA. RAINFALL WILL BE DIMINISHING OVER HAITI TONIGHT…WITH AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAINFALL POSSIBLE.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS CAN BE EXPECTED IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA.
REPEATING THE 500 PM EDT POSITION…18.1 N…76.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD…WEST NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…70 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…985 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 800 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100 PM EDT.
$$ FORECASTER KNABB
—– COMMENT: AUTHOR: A Yahoo! user DATE: 08/28/2008 15:01:18 TCPAT3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM HANNA ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082008 500 PM AST THU AUG 28 2008
…HANNA STRUGGLING AS IT CONTINUES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD…
AT 500 PM AST…2100Z…THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HANNA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.7 NORTH…LONGITUDE 60.1 WEST OR ABOUT 260 MILES…420 KM…NORTHEAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS.
HANNA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH…19 KM/HR. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TONIGHT OR FRIDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK…HANNA WILL MOVE AWAY FROM THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS AND BE CENTERED WELL TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE BAHAMAS DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH…65 KM/HR…WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES…85 KM FROM THE CENTER.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB…29.62 INCHES.
HANNA COULD PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS.
REPEATING THE 500 PM AST POSITION…20.7 N…60.1 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD…WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1003 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 1100 PM AST.
$$ FORECASTER RHOME
—– COMMENT: AUTHOR: A Yahoo! user DATE: 08/28/2008 20:06:20 TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM GUSTAV ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072008 1100 PM EDT THU AUG 28 2008
…CENTER OF GUSTAV CONTINUES SLOWLY WESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTH COAST OF JAMAICA…
HURRICANE WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA AND THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN CUBA…FOR THE PROVINCES OF ISLA DE JUVENTUD…PINAR DEL RIO…LA HABANA…AND CIUDAD DE LA HABANA. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA…GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCE OF GRANMA.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCE OF MATANZAS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA…GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN CENTRAL AND WESTERN CUBA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF GUSTAV.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA…INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS…PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 1100 PM EDT…0300Z…THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GUSTAV WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.8 NORTH…LONGITUDE 77.3 WEST OR ABOUT 35 MILES… 55 KM…WEST-SOUTHWEST OF KINGSTON JAMAICA AND ABOUT 275 MILES…445 KM…EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GRAND CAYMAN.
GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 7 MPH…11 KM/HR. A TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND NORTHWEST IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THIS TRACK…THE CENTER OF GUSTAV WILL PASS NEAR OR OVER WESTERN JAMAICA TONIGHT…MOVE NEAR OR OVER THE CAYMAN ISLANDS FRIDAY OR FRIDAY NIGHT…AND APPROACH WESTERN CUBA ON SATURDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH…110 KM/HR…WITH HIGHER GUSTS. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS…AND GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE FRIDAY OR FRIDAY NIGHT.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES…75 KM FROM THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 988 MB…29.18 INCHES.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS CAN BE EXPECTED IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA.
GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES ACROSS JAMAICA AND THE CAYMAN ISLANDS…WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 25 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHERN CUBA. RAINFALL WILL BE DIMINISHING OVER HAITI TONIGHT…WITH AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAINFALL POSSIBLE.
REPEATING THE 1100 PM EDT POSITION…17.8 N…77.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD…WEST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…70 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…988 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 200 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500 AM EDT.
$$ FORECASTER BEVEN —– COMMENT: AUTHOR: A Yahoo! user DATE: 08/28/2008 20:07:28 TCPAT3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM HANNA ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082008 1100 PM AST THU AUG 28 2008
…HANNA STRENGTHENS NORTHEAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
AT 1100 PM AST…0300Z…THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HANNA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.1 NORTH…LONGITUDE 60.6 WEST OR ABOUT 260 MILES…415 KM…NORTHEAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS.
HANNA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH…11 KM/HR. A MOTION BETWEEN WEST-NORTHWEST AND NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK…HANNA WILL GRADUALLY MOVE AWAY FROM THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS AND BE LOCATED WELL TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE BAHAMAS DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH…85 KM/HR…WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AND HANNA COULD BECOME A HURRICANE BY SATURDAY.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES…85 KM FROM THE CENTER.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB…29.53 INCHES.
HANNA`S SOUTHERN TRAILING RAIN BANDS COULD PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS.
REPEATING THE 1100 PM AST POSITION…21.1 N…60.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD…WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1000 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 500 AM AST.
$$ FORECASTER STEWART/BEVEN —– COMMENT: AUTHOR: A Yahoo! user DATE: 08/29/2008 05:35:39 TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM GUSTAV INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 18A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072008 800 AM EDT FRI AUG 29 2008
…CENTER OF GUSTAV ABOUT TO MOVE WEST OF JAMAICA…
HURRICANE WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA AND THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN CUBA…FOR THE PROVINCES OF ISLA DE JUVENTUD…PINAR DEL RIO…LA HABANA…AND CIUDAD DE LA HABANA.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCE OF GRANMA.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCE OF MATANZAS. TROPICAL STORM WATCHES MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL CUBA LATER TODAY.
INTERESTS THROUGHOUT THE GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF GUSTAV.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA…PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 800 AM EDT…1200Z…THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GUSTAV WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.3 NORTH…LONGITUDE 78.3 WEST…NEAR THE WESTERN END OF JAMAICA…OR ABOUT 100 MILES…160 KM… WEST-NORTHWEST OF KINGSTON JAMAICA AND ABOUT 200 MILES…320 KM…EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GRAND CAYMAN.
GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH…13 KM/HR. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS FORECAST BY TOMORROW. ON THIS TRACK…THE CENTER OF GUSTAV WILL LEAVE JAMAICA THIS MORNING…MOVE NEAR OR OVER THE CAYMAN ISLANDS LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT…AND MOVE NEAR OR OVER WESTERN PORTIONS OF CUBA ON SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 65 MPH…100 KM/HR…WITH HIGHER GUSTS. STRENGTHENING IS LIKELY DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS…AND GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TODAY OR TOMORROW. GUSTAV COULD BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE BEFORE REACHING WESTERN CUBA.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES…220 KM FROM THE CENTER.
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 988 MB…29.18 INCHES.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS CAN BE EXPECTED IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREAS.
GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES ACROSS JAMAICA AND THE CAYMAN ISLANDS…WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 25 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHERN CUBA.
REPEATING THE 800 AM EDT POSITION…18.3 N…78.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD…WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…65 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…988 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 1100 AM EDT.
$$ FORECASTER KNABB —– COMMENT: AUTHOR: A Yahoo! user DATE: 08/29/2008 05:36:15 TCPAT3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM HANNA ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082008 500 AM AST FRI AUG 29 2008
…HANNA IS POORLY ORGANIZED AT THIS TIME…
AT 500 AM AST…0900Z…THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HANNA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.7 NORTH…LONGITUDE 62.3 WEST OR ABOUT 245 MILES…400 KM…NORTH-NORTHEAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS.
HANNA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH…22 KM/HR. A MOTION BETWEEN WEST-NORTHWEST AND NORTHWEST AWAY FROM THE LEEWARD ISLANDS IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH…85 KM/HR…WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST TODAY BUT HANNA COULD BECOME A HURRICANE IN A COUPLE OF DAYS.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES…85 KM FROM THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB…29.53 INCHES.
RAIN BANDS ASSOCIATED WITH HANNA COULD PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE LEEWARD ISLAND
REPEATING THE 500 AM AST POSITION…21.7 N…62.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD…NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1000 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 1100 AM AST.
$$ FORECASTER AVILA
—– COMMENT: AUTHOR: A Yahoo! user DATE: 08/29/2008 15:45:16 TCPAT2 BULLETIN HURRICANE GUSTAV ADVISORY NUMBER 20 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072008 500 PM EDT FRI AUG 29 2008
…GUSTAV BECOMES A HURRICANE OVER THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN…
AT 500 PM EDT…2100 UTC…A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS ISSUED FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS FROM WEST OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE WESTWARD TO DRY TORTUGAS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA…GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS…AND FOR THE WESTERN CUBAN PROVINCES OF ISLA DE JUVENTUD…PINAR DEL RIO…LA HABANA…AND CIUDAD DE LA HABANA.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA…AND FOR THE CENTRAL CUBAN PROVINCES OF MATANZAS…CIENFUEGOS…VILLA CLARA…SANCTI SPIRITUS…CIEGO DE AVILA…CAMAGUEY…AND GRANMA.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA…PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 500 PM EDT…2100Z…THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUSTAV WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.2 NORTH…LONGITUDE 79.7 WEST OR ABOUT 100 MILES… 160 KM…EAST OF GRAND CAYMAN AND ABOUT 380 MILES…610 KM… EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA.
GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH…19 KM/HR…AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THIS TRACK…THE CENTER OF GUSTAV WILL PASS NEAR OR OVER THE CAYMAN ISLANDS TONIGHT…OVER THE WESTERN PORTIONS OF CUBA ON SATURDAY…AND INTO THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO ON SATURDAY NIGHT OR SUNDAY.
DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH…120 KM/HR…WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GUSTAV IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS…AND GUSTAV COULD BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE NEAR THE TIME IT CROSSES WESTERN CUBA.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES…45 KM…FROM THE CENTER…AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160 MILES…260 KM.
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY THE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 980 MB…28.94 INCHES.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS POSSIBLE IN THE CAYMAN ISLANDS…WITH 8 TO 13 FEET POSSIBLE NEAR WHERE THE CENTER OF GUSTAV CROSSES WESTERN CUBA…INCLUDING ISLA DE JUVENTUD.
GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES ACROSS JAMAICA…THE CAYMAN ISLANDS…AND WESTERN CUBA…WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 25 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHERN CUBA.
REPEATING THE 500 PM EDT POSITION…19.2 N…79.7 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD…NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…75 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…980 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 800 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100 PM EDT.
$$ FORECASTER KNABB —– COMMENT: AUTHOR: A Yahoo! user DATE: 08/29/2008 15:46:05 TCPAT3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM HANNA ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082008 500 PM AST FRI AUG 29 2008
…HANNA PASSING WELL NORTH OF THE VIRGIN ISLANDS…
INTERESTS IN THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF HANNA.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA…INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS…PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 500 PM AST…2100Z…THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HANNA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.8 NORTH…LONGITUDE 63.8 WEST OR ABOUT 280 MILES…450 KM…NORTH-NORTHEAST OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO AND ABOUT 470 MILES…755 KM…EAST OF GRAND TURK ISLAND.
HANNA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH…17 KM/HR. A MOTION BETWEEN WEST-NORTHWEST AND NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THIS TRACK…THE CENTER OF HANNA IS FORECAST TO PASS WELL OF THE VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO TONIGHT AND SATURDAY…AND THEN BE NORTHEAST OF THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS ON SUNDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH…85 KM/HR…WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AND HANNA COULD BE NEAR HURRICANE STRENGTH ON SUNDAY.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES…140 KM FROM THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB…29.53 INCHES.
RAIN BANDS ASSOCIATED WITH HANNA COULD PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS.
REPEATING THE 500 PM AST POSITION…21.8 N…63.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD…WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1000 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 1100 PM AST.
$$ FORECASTER BROWN —– COMMENT: AUTHOR: A Yahoo! user DATE: 08/29/2008 20:04:23 TCPAT2 BULLETIN HURRICANE GUSTAV ADVISORY NUMBER 21 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072008 1100 PM EDT FRI AUG 29 2008
…CENTER OF GUSTAV MOVING THROUGH THE CAYMAN ISLANDS…
AT 11 PM EDT…0300 UTC…A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL CUBAN PROVINCES OF MATANZAS…CIENFUEGOS…AND VILLA CLARA. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA…GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
AT 1100 PM EDT…0300 UTC…A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS WEST OF KEY WEST TO THE DRY TORTUGAS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS…AND FOR THE WESTERN CUBAN PROVINCES OF ISLA DE JUVENTUD…PINAR DEL RIO…LA HABANA…AND CIUDAD DE LA HABANA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
AT 11 PM EDT…0300 UTC…THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS DISCONTINUED FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCE OF GRANMA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA…AND FOR THE CENTRAL CUBAN PROVINCES OF MATANZAS…CIENFUEGOS…VILLA CLARA…SANCTI SPIRITUS…CIEGO DE AVILA…AND CAMAGUEY.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS WEST OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO KEY WEST.
INTERESTS IN THE GULF OF MEXICO AND THE NORTHERN GULF COAST SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF GUSTAV.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA…INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS…PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 1100 PM EDT…0300Z…THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUSTAV WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.5 NORTH…LONGITUDE 80.4 WEST OR ABOUT 25 MILES… 40 KM…WEST SOUTHWEST OF LITTLE CAYMAN ISLAND. THIS POSITION IS ALSO ABOUT 55 MILES…85 KM…EAST-NORTHEAST OF GRAND CAYMAN AND ABOUT 330 MILES…530 KM…EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA.
GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH…17 KM/HR…AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THIS TRACK…THE CENTER OF GUSTAV WILL PASS NEAR OR OVER THE CAYMAN ISLANDS TONIGHT…OVER THE WESTERN PORTIONS OF CUBA ON SATURDAY…AND INTO THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO ON SATURDAY NIGHT OR SUNDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH…130 KM/HR…WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GUSTAV IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT TWO DAYS…AND GUSTAVE COULD BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE AS IT APPROACHES WESTERN CUBA.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES…95 KM…FROM THE CENTER…AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160 MILES…260 KM.
A NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT RECENTLY REPORTED A MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 974 MB…28.76 INCHES.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS POSSIBLE IN THE CAYMAN ISLANDS…WITH 14 TO 19 FEET POSSIBLE NEAR WHERE THE CENTER OF GUSTAV CROSSES WESTERN CUBA…INCLUDING ISLA DE JUVENTUD.
GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES ACROSS THE CAYMAN ISLANDS…AND CENTRAL AND WESTERN CUBA…WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 25 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. THE RAINFALL THREAT WILL BE DIMINISHING ACROSS JAMAICA AND EASTERN CUBA TONIGHT. PRECIPITATION FROM GUSTAV MAY BEGIN TO AFFECT THE FLORIDA KEYS AND SOUTH FLORIDA DURING SATURDAY.
REPEATING THE 1100 PM EDT POSITION…19.5 N…80.4 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD…NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…80 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…974 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 200 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500 AM EDT.
$$ FORECASTER BEVEN —– COMMENT: AUTHOR: A Yahoo! user DATE: 08/29/2008 20:05:37 TCPAT3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM HANNA ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082008 1100 PM AST FRI AUG 29 2008
…HANNA REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED…BUT STILL A TROPICAL STORM…
INTERESTS IN THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF HANNA.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA…INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS…PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 1100 PM AST…0300Z…THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HANNA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.1 NORTH…LONGITUDE 65.3 WEST OR ABOUT 260 MILES…420 KM…NORTH OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO AND ABOUT 375 MILES …600 KM…EAST OF GRAND TURK ISLAND.
HANNA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH…22 KM/HR. A GENERAL WEST-NORTHWEST TO NORTHWEST MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THIS TRACK…THE CENTER OF HANNA IS FORECAST TO PASS WELL NORTH OF THE VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO TONIGHT AND SATURDAY…AND IS EXPECTED TO APPROACH THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS FROM THE NORTHEAST ON SUNDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH…85 KM/HR…WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AND HANNA COULD BE NEAR HURRICANE STRENGTH ON SUNDAY.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES…185 KM FROM THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB…29.59 INCHES.
RAIN BANDS ASSOCIATED WITH HANNA COULD PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS.
REPEATING THE 1100 PM AST POSITION…22.1 N…65.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD…WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1002 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 500 AM AST.
$$ FORECASTER ROBERTS/BEVEN
BULLETIN
—– COMMENT: AUTHOR: A Yahoo! user DATE: 08/30/2008 02:19:10 TCPAT2 BULLETIN HURRICANE GUSTAV ADVISORY NUMBER 22 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072008 500 AM EDT SAT AUG 30 2008
…GUSTAV RAPIDLY STRENGTHENING AS IT TAKES AIM ON WESTERN CUBA…
AT 500 AM EDT…0900 UTC…THE GOVERNMENT OF JAMAICA HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR JAMAICA.
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS…AND FOR THE WESTERN CUBAN PROVINCES OF PINAR DEL RIO…LA HABANA… CIUDAD DE LA HABANA AND THE ISLA DE JUVENTUD. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL CUBAN PROVINCES OF MATANZAS…CIENFUEGOS…AND VILLA CLARA. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA…GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS WEST OF KEY WEST TO THE DRY TORTUGAS AND FOR THE CENTRAL CUBAN PROVINCES OF MATANZAS…CIENFUEGOS…VILLA CLARA…SANCTI SPIRITUS…CIEGO DE AVILA…AND CAMAGUEY. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS WEST OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO KEY WEST.
INTERESTS IN THE GULF OF MEXICO AND THE NORTHERN GULF COAST SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF GUSTAV.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA…INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS…PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 500 AM EDT…0900Z…THE EYE OF HURRICANE GUSTAV WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.2 NORTH…LONGITUDE 81.3 WEST OR ABOUT 135 MILES… 220 KM…SOUTHEAST OF THE ISLE OF YOUTH AND ABOUT 255 MILES…410 KM …EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA.
GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH…19 KM/HR…AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THIS TRACK…THE CENTER OF GUSTAV WILL BE NEAR WESTERN CUBA LATER TODAY…AND MOVE INTO THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO EARLY SUNDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 110 MPH…175 KM/HR…WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GUSTAV IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. RECENT SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT GUSTAV IS STRENGTHENING QUICKLY AND IT COULD BECOME A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE AT ANY TIME BEFORE REACHING CUBA. FURTHER STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE IN THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO.
GUSTAV IS A LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES…95 KM…FROM THE CENTER…AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160 MILES…260 KM.
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE IS 965 MB…28.50 INCHES.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS POSSIBLE IN THE CAYMAN ISLANDS…WITH 14 TO 19 FEET POSSIBLE NEAR WHERE THE CENTER OF GUSTAV CROSSES WESTERN CUBA…INCLUDING THE ISLE OF YOUTH.
GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES ACROSS THE CAYMAN ISLANDS…AND CENTRAL AND WESTERN CUBA…WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 25 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. RAINFALL OF 1 TO 3 INCHES IS POSSIBLE OVER FLORIDA KEYS AND EXTREME SOUTH FLORIDA BY SUNDAY MORNING.
REPEATING THE 500 AM EDT POSITION…20.2 N…81.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD…NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…110 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…965 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 800 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100 AM EDT.
$$ FORECASTER BLAKE/AVILA —– COMMENT: AUTHOR: A Yahoo! user DATE: 08/30/2008 02:20:07 TCPAT3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM HANNA ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082008 500 AM AST SAT AUG 30 2008
…HANNA HEADING WESTWARD WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH…
INTERESTS IN THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF HANNA.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA…INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS…PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 500 AM AST…0900Z…THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HANNA WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.9 NORTH…LONGITUDE 66.3 WEST OR ABOUT 240 MILES…390 KM…NORTH OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO AND ABOUT 310 MILES …500 KM…EAST OF GRAND TURK ISLAND.
HANNA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 12 MPH…19 KM/HR. A GRADUAL TURN TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY FOLLOWED BY A TURN BACK TO THE WEST ON SUNDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 50 MPH…85 KM/HR…WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST TODAY BUT HANNA COULD BE NEAR HURRICANE STRENGTH ON SUNDAY.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES…185 KM MAINLY TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB…29.56 INCHES.
RAIN BANDS ASSOCIATED WITH HANNA COULD PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS.
REPEATING THE 500 AM AST POSITION…21.9 N…66.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD…WEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1001 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 1100 AM AST.
$$ FORECASTER AVILA —– COMMENT: AUTHOR: A Yahoo! user DATE: 08/30/2008 13:05:32 TCPAT3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM HANNA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 10A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082008 200 PM AST SAT AUG 30 2008
…HANNA HEADS WEST-NORTHWESTWARD WITH NO CHANGE IN INTENSITY…
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS…INCLUDING THE ACKLINS…CROOKED ISLAND…THE INAGUAS…MAYAGUANA…AND THE RAGGED ISLANDS…AS WELL AS FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA…INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS…PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 200 PM AST…1800Z…THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HANNA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.2 NORTH…LONGITUDE 67.0 WEST OR ABOUT 265 MILES…430 KM…EAST OF GRAND TURK ISLAND.
HANNA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH…13 KM/HR. A WEST TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION WITH A GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THIS TRACK…THE CENTER OF HANNA IS FORECAST TO MOVE NEAR OR JUST NORTHEAST OF THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS LATE SUNDAY OR EARLY MONDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH…85 KM/HR…WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES… 220 KM…MAINLY TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB…29.53 INCHES.
LONG-PERIOD SWELLS FROM HANNA ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE THE RISK OF DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ALONG PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES COAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
REPEATING THE 200 PM AST POSITION…22.2 N…67.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD…WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1000 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 500 PM AST.
$$ FORECASTER BROWN —– COMMENT: AUTHOR: A Yahoo! user DATE: 08/30/2008 13:06:56 TCPAT2 BULLETIN HURRICANE GUSTAV SPECIAL ADVISORY NUMBER 24 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072008 200 PM EDT SAT AUG 30 2008
…GUSTAV BECOMES AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE… …WESTERN EYEWALL DIRECTLY IMPACTING THE ISLE OF YOUTH…
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF PINAR DEL RIO…LA HABANA…CIUDAD DE LA HABANA…ISLA DE JUVENTUD…MATANZAS…AND CIENFUEGOS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA SHOULD HAVE ALREADY BEEN COMPLETED.
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL CUBAN PROVINCE OF VILLA CLARA.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL CUBAN PROVINCES OF VILLA CLARA…SANCTI SPIRITUS…CIEGO DE AVILA…AND CAMAGUEY…AND FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS WEST OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO DRY TORTUGAS.
INTERESTS IN THE GULF OF MEXICO AND THE NORTHERN GULF COAST SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF GUSTAV. A HURRICANE WATCH COULD BE ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN GULF COAST LATER TODAY.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA…PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 200 PM EDT…1800Z…THE EYE OF HURRICANE GUSTAV WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.6 NORTH…LONGITUDE 82.5 WEST…NEAR THE ISLE OF YOUTH…OR ABOUT 155 MILES…250 KM…EAST OF THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA AND ABOUT 110 MILES…180 KM…SOUTH OF HAVANA CUBA.
GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH…22 KM/HR…AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THIS TRACK…THE CENTER OF GUSTAV WILL PASS OVER WESTERN PORTIONS OF CUBA TODAY AND TONIGHT…THEN EMERGE OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO EARLY ON SUNDAY…AND REACH THE NORTHERN GULF BY MONDAY MORNING.
DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE CONTINUED TO INCREASE AND ARE NOW NEAR 145 MPH…230 KM/HR…WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GUSTAV IS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. AN UNOFFICIAL OBSERVATION OF A SUSTAINED WIND OF 140 MPH…220 KM/HR…HAS BEEN REPORTED ALONG THE EASTERN COAST OF THE ISLE OF YOUTH. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS…AND GUSTAV COULD BECOME A CATEGORY FIVE HURRICANE EITHER BEFORE OR SHORTLY AFTER CROSSING WESTERN CUBA.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES…110 KM…FROM THE CENTER…AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES…280 KM.
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 945 MB…27.91 INCHES.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 18 TO 23 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS…ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES…IS POSSIBLE NEAR WHERE THE CENTER OF GUSTAV CROSSES WESTERN CUBA…INCLUDING THE ISLE OF YOUTH. STORM SURGE OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS POSSIBLE IN THE DRY TORTUGAS AS GUSTAV PASSES TO ITS WEST.
GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES ACROSS THE CAYMAN ISLANDS…AND CENTRAL AND WESTERN CUBA…WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 25 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. RAINFALL OF 1 TO 3 INCHES IS POSSIBLE OVER FLORIDA KEYS AND EXTREME SOUTH FLORIDA BY SUNDAY MORNING.
REPEATING THE 200 PM EDT POSITION…21.6 N…82.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD…NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…145 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…945 MB.
THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 500 PM EDT.
$$ FORECASTER KNABB