000 ABNT20 KNHC 012114 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 530 PM EDT THU JUN 01 2006
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC…CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO…
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY.
TODAY MARKS THE FIRST DAY OF THE ATLANTIC HURRICANE SEASON…WHICH WILL RUN UNTIL NOVEMBER 30TH. THE LIST OF NAMES FOR 2006 IS AS FOLLOWS:
NAME PRONUNCIATION NAME PRONUNCIATION ————————————————————- ALBERTO AL BAIR- TOE LESLIE BERYL BER- IL MICHAEL CHRIS NADINE NAY DEEN- DEBBY OSCAR ERNESTO ER NES- TOE PATTY FLORENCE RAFAEL RA FA EL- GORDON SANDY HELENE HE LEEN- TONY ISAAC EYE- ZAK VALERIE JOYCE WILLIAM KIRK
THE GREEK ALPHABET…ALPHA…BETA…GAMMA…ETC…IS USED SHOULD THE STANDARD LIST OF NAMES BE EXHAUSTED…AS IT WAS LAST YEAR. IN 2005…A RECORD 28 STORMS FORMED…INCLUDING AN UNNAMED OCTOBER SUBTROPICAL STORM THAT WAS ADDED TO THE OFFICIAL LIST IN APRIL. THE LONG-TERM AVERAGES FOR THE NUMBER OF NAMED STORMS…HURRICANES… AND MAJOR HURRICANES ARE 11…6…AND 2…RESPECTIVELY. THE NOAA SEASONAL OUTLOOK FOR 2006 CALLS FOR ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS OF ACTIVITY.
THIS PRODUCT…THE TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK…IS ISSUED FOUR TIMES A DAY…AT 530 AM…1130 AM…530 PM AND 1030 PM EASTERN TIME. IT BRIEFLY DESCRIBES SIGNIFICANT AREAS OF DISTURBED WEATHER AND THEIR POTENTIAL FOR TROPICAL STORM FORMATION.
A SEPARATE PRODUCT…THE SPECIAL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE STATEMENT… MAY BE ISSUED AT ANY TIME TO DESCRIBE STRONG…FORMATIVE WEATHER SYSTEMS THAT HAVE NOT YET REACHED TROPICAL DEPRESSION STATUS. THE SPECIAL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE STATEMENT IS ISSUED UNDER THE WMO HEADER WONT41 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIADSAAT.
A STANDARD PACKAGE OF PRODUCTS…CONSISTING OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY…THE FORECAST/ADVISORY…THE CYCLONE DISCUSSION… AND A NEW PRODUCT…THE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES…IN PLACE OF THE STRIKE PROBABILITIES…IS ISSUED EVERY SIX HOURS FOR ALL ONGOING TROPICAL CYCLONES. IN ADDITION…A SPECIAL ADVISORY PACKAGE MAY BE ISSUED AT ANY TIME TO ADVISE OF SIGNIFICANT UNEXPECTED CHANGES OR TO MODIFY WATCHES OR WARNINGS.
AN ADDITIONAL PRODUCT…OF WHICH USERS MAY BE LESS FAMILIAR…IS THE TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE. THE TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE IS A BRIEF STATEMENT TO INFORM OF SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN A TROPICAL CYCLONE OR TO POST OR CANCEL WATCHES OR WARNINGS. IT IS USED IN LIEU OF OR TO PRECEDE THE ISSUANCE OF A SPECIAL ADVISORY PACKAGE. TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES…WHICH CAN BE ISSUED AT ANY TIME…CAN BE FOUND UNDER WMO HEADERS WTNT61 KNHC THROUGH WTNT65 KNHC…AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCUAT1 THROUGH MIATCUAT5.
FORECASTER AVILA
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