WINTER OUTLOOK FOR THE MID-ATLANTIC AND NORTHEAST REGION
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WINTER WILL LIKELY BE COLDER THAN AVERAGE WITH ABOVE AVERAGE PRECIPITATION FOR MOST OF THE NORTHEAST AND MID-ATLANTIC REGION
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I THINK WINTER WILL START AROUND THANKSGIVING WITH COLD AND OCCASIONAL FLURRIES FOLLOWED BY A 7 TO 10 DAY STREAK OF EXCEPTIONALLY COLD WEATHER WITH WELL BELOW NORMAL TEMPS IN MID DECEMBER THAT MAY BE IN COMBINATION WITH OUR FIRST SIGNIFIGANT (4 OR MORE INCHES) SNOWFALL … BUT I THINK MOST OF THE WINTER WILL BE LOWS 10 TO 20 AND HIGHS 25 To 35 IN A 60 TO 90 DAY STREAK STARING IN EARLY DECEMBER AND ENDING IN EARLY MARCH WITH 90 PERCENT OF THE DAYS HAVING HIGH TEMPS AT OR BELOW THE 40 DEGREE MARK … HENCE ALOT OF SNOW IS LIKELY FOR THE SEASON (MOSTLY IN LATE JANUARY AND RIGHT THRU FEBURARY) I ALSO THINK RECORDS WILL BE THREATENED EITHER BY MOST SNOW IN A SEASON OR BY MOST SNOW FROM A STORM OR SOMETHING LIKE THAT IF NOT BOTH !!! THE COLDEST WAVE WILL LIKELY BE IN MID TO LATE JANUARY WITH POSSIBLY RECORD COLD LASTING FOR FIVE TO TEN DAYS BEFORE CLOSER TO NORMAL TEMPS RESUME IN FEBURARY — JUST A HINT I HAVE A HUNCH A 4 DAY NOREASTER WILL BE STALLED OR NEARLY STATIONARY NEAR THE JERSEY SHORE AND OR LONG ISLAND IN MID FEBURARY PRODUCING 20 TO 40 INCHES OF SNOW BETWEEN DC AND BOSTON WITH LARGEST AMOUNTS NORTHWEST OF 95 AND IN THE BOSTON AREA — MOST AREAS WILL BE TWO TO FOUR DEGREES BELOW AVERAGE MOST OF THE WINTER AND HAVE 150 TO 200 PERCENT OF THEIR NORMAL SNOWFALL FOR THE SEASON … SO IT LOOKS LIKE FUN IF YOU LOVE THE SNOW THIS YEAR !!!
NOTE: THIS IS MY EARLY GUESS AND I WILL UPDATE AROUND THANKSGIVING IF I SEE ANY CHANGES IN THE ABOVE FORECAST !!!
"CORRECT OR NOT" — I AM STILL
AS ALWAYS FORECASTER: SCHLEY
—– COMMENT: AUTHOR: A Yahoo! user DATE: 09/04/2008 05:36:08 000 WTNT33 KNHC 041143 TCPAT3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM HANNA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 30A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082008 800 AM AST THU SEP 04 2008
…HANNA PASSING NEAR THE BAHAMAS…
AT 800 AM EDT…1200 UTC…THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SURF CITY NORTH CAROLINA SOUTHWESTWARD TO NORTH OF EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA…AND A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM EDISTO BEACH SOUTHWESTWARD TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA…INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS…PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 800 AM AST…1200Z…THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HANNA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.1 NORTH…LONGITUDE 73.1 WEST OR ABOUT 280 MILES…455 KM…EAST-SOUTHEAST OF NASSAU AND ABOUT 760 MILES…1220 KM…SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA.
HANNA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH…19 KM/HR…AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS…WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THIS TRACK…THE CENTER OF HANNA WILL PASS JUST EAST OF THE CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS TODAY…AND WILL BE NEAR THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES BY FRIDAY OR FRIDAY NIGHT. HOWEVER…RAINS AND WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH HANNA WILL REACH THE COAST WELL IN ADVANCE OF THE CENTER.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH…110 KM/HR…WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS…AND HANNA COULD BECOME A HURRICANE BEFORE REACHING THE SOUTHEAST U.S. COAST.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 290 MILES…465 KM FROM THE CENTER.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY A NOAA RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 989 MB…29.20 INCHES.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS CAN BE EXPECTED IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA.
SWELLS FROM HANNA ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE THE RISK OF DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ALONG PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES COAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
REPEATING THE 800 AM AST POSITION…24.1 N…73.1 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD…NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…70 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…989 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 1100 AM AST.
$$ FORECASTER FRANKLIN/KNABB
—– COMMENT: AUTHOR: A Yahoo! user DATE: 09/04/2008 05:36:40 000 WTNT34 KNHC 040837 TCPAT4 BULLETIN HURRICANE IKE ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092008 500 AM AST THU SEP 04 2008
…IKE EVEN STRONGER AS IT CONTINUES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD…
AT 500 AM AST…0900Z…THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.7 NORTH…LONGITUDE 55.8 WEST OR ABOUT 550 MILES…885 KM…NORTHEAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS.
IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH…28 KM/HR…AND A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE WEST AND WEST-SOUTHWEST IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK THE HURRICANE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE OVER THE OPEN WATERS OF THE WEST-CENTRAL ATLANTIC DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. IT IS TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE WHAT LAND AREAS MIGHT EVENTUALLY BE AFFECTED BY IKE.
SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT IKE HAS INTENSIFIED SOME MORE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 145 MPH…230 KM/HR…WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THIS IS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. IT IS EXPECTED THAT IKE WILL MAINTAIN CATEGORY FOUR OR CATEGORY THREE INTENSITY OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES…55 KM…FROM THE CENTER…AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES…220 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 935 MB…27.61 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 500 AM AST POSITION…22.7 N…55.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD…WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…145 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…935 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 1100 AM AST.
$$ FORECASTER PASCH
—– COMMENT: AUTHOR: A Yahoo! user DATE: 09/04/2008 05:37:13 TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM JOSEPHINE ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102008 500 AM AST THU SEP 04 2008
…JOSEPHINE A LITTLE STRONGER…
AT 500 AM AST…0900Z…THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JOSEPHINE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.2 NORTH…LONGITUDE 31.3 WEST OR ABOUT 465 MILES…745 KM…WEST OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.
JOSEPHINE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH…17 KM/HR. A WEST-NORTHWEST TO WESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH…95 KM/HR…WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT TWO DAYS.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES…165 KM FROM THE CENTER.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB…29.44 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 500 AM AST POSITION…14.2 N…31.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD…WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…997 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 1100 AM AST.
$$ FORECASTER STEWART —– COMMENT: AUTHOR: A Yahoo! user DATE: 09/04/2008 19:30:21 000 WTNT33 KNHC 042339 TCPAT3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM HANNA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 32A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082008 800 PM EDT THU SEP 04 2008
…LARGE HANNA BEGINNING TO CLEAR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS…BUT STILL WINDY…
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM THE SAVANNAH RIVER NORTHWARD TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER…INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA TO CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT…INCLUDING PAMLICO SOUND.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER NORTHWARD TO GREAT EGG INLET NEW JERSEY…INCLUDING THE CHESAPEAKE BAY…THE TIDAL POTOMAC…WASHINGTON D.C…AND THE DELAWARE BAY. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA…GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THE SAVANNAH RIVER SOUTHWARD TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA…INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS…PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 800 PM EDT…0000Z…THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HANNA WAS ESTIMATED LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.0 NORTH…LONGITUDE 76.0 WEST OR ABOUT 75 MILES…125 KM…EAST-SOUTHEAST OF MARSH HARBOR IN THE BAHAMAS AND ABOUT 580 MILES…940 KM… SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA.
HANNA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH…22 KM/HR…AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. A TURN TO THE NORTH IS EXPECTED BY LATE FRIDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK…THE CENTER OF HANNA WILL PASS JUST EAST OF THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS TONIGHT… AND WILL BE NEAR THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES BY LATE FRIDAY. HOWEVER…RAINS AND WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH HANNA WILL REACH THE COAST WELL IN ADVANCE OF THE CENTER.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH…100 KM/HR…WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ONLY SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST PRIOR TO LANDFALL… ALTHOUGH IT IS STILL POSSIBLE FOR HANNA TO BECOME A HURRICANE.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 315 MILES…510 KM…MAINLY TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER.
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 987 MB…29.15 INCHES.
HANNA COULD PRODUCE RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 3 INCHES OVER THE NORTHERN BAHAMAS AND THE EASTERN PORTIONS OF SOUTH AND NORTH CAROLINA…WITH MAXIMUM ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 5 INCHES POSSIBLE. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE FROM THE GEORGIA COAST SOUTHWARD TO THE CENTRAL FLORIDA COAST. VERY HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE LIKELY TO SPREAD RAPIDLY NORTHWARD INTO THE MID ATLANTIC STATES AND NEW ENGLAND FROM FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY AND MAY RESULT IN FLOODING.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS…ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES…CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF THE PATH OF THE CENTER OF HANNA.
REPEATING THE 800 PM EDT POSITION…26.0 N…76.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD…NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…65 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…987 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 1100 PM EDT.
$$ FORECASTER AVILA
—– COMMENT: AUTHOR: A Yahoo! user DATE: 09/04/2008 19:30:50 000 WTNT34 KNHC 042031 TCPAT4 BULLETIN HURRICANE IKE ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092008 500 PM AST THU SEP 04 2008
…IKE EXPECTED TO TURN WESTWARD OVERNIGHT….
INTERESTS IN THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IKE.
AT 500 PM AST…2100Z…THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.6 NORTH…LONGITUDE 58.2 WEST OR ABOUT 505 MILES…815 KM…NORTH-NORTHEAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS.
IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH…22 KM/HR. A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE WEST AND WEST-SOUTHWEST IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK THE HURRICANE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE OVER THE OPEN WATERS OF THE WEST-CENTRAL ATLANTIC DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 135 MPH…215 KM/HR…WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IKE IS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES…75 KM…FROM THE CENTER…AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES…220 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 945 MB…27.91 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 500 PM AST POSITION…23.6 N…58.2 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD…WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…135 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…945 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 1100 PM AST.
$$ FORECASTER BLAKE
—– COMMENT: AUTHOR: A Yahoo! user DATE: 09/04/2008 19:31:25 TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM JOSEPHINE ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102008 500 PM AST THU SEP 04 2008
…JOSEPHINE WEAKENS A LITTLE MORE…
AT 500 PM AST…2100Z…THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JOSEPHINE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.6 NORTH…LONGITUDE 33.2 WEST OR ABOUT 590 MILES…945 KM…WEST OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.
JOSEPHINE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH…17 KM/HR …AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH…75 KM/HR…WITH HIGHER GUSTS. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE CURRENTLY NOT FAVORABLE FOR SIGNIFICANT STRENGTHENING…AND LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES…165 KM FROM THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB…29.59 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 500 PM AST POSITION…14.6 N…33.2 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD…WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1002 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 1100 PM AST.
$$ FORECASTER BEVEN
—– COMMENT: AUTHOR: A Yahoo! user DATE: 09/04/2008 20:33:00 TROPICAL STORM WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 12:00AM EDT Urgent – Immediate Broadcast Requested Tropical Storm Hanna Local Statement National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 600 PM EDT Thu Sep 4 2008
…Hanna Moving Toward The Mid Atlantic States…
At 500 PM EDT…2100z…The Center Of Tropical Storm Hanna Was Located Near Latitude 25.5 North…Longitude 75.0 West Or About 155 Miles…250 Km…East-Northeast Of Nassau And About 625 Miles…South Southeast Of Wilmington North Carolina. Hanna Is Moving Toward The Northwest Near 14 Mph…And This Motion Is Expected To Continue During The Next Day Or So With A Gradual Increase In Forward Speed. A Turn To The North Is Expected By Late Friday. On The Forecast Track…The Center Of Hanna Will Pass Just East Of The Northwestern Bahamas Today…And May Reach The Greater Baltimore Washington Region Including Southern Maryland Saturday Morning. Maximum Sustained Winds Are Near 65 Mph…With Higher Gusts. Only Slight Strengthening Is Forecast Prior To Landfall…Although It Is Still Possible For Hanna To Become A Hurricane.
District Of Columbia-Harford-Southern Baltimore-Prince Georges- Anne Arundel-Charles-St. Marys-Calvert- Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park-Fairfax- Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria-Stafford-King George- 600 PM EDT Thu Sep 4 2008
…Tropical Storm Watch In Effect…
…New Information…
A Tropical Storm Watch Has Been Issued.
…Areas Affected…
This Statement Recommends Actions To Be Taken By Persons In… Central Maryland…Northern Maryland…Southern Maryland…The District Of Columbia…Central Virginia And Northern Virginia.
…Watches/Warnings…
Please Listen To Noaa Weather Radio Or Go To Weather.Gov On The Internet For More Information About These Additional Hazards.
flash Flood Watch.
…Precautionary/Preparedness Actions…
Listen To Noaa Weather Radio Or Local Radio Or Tv Stations For Up To Date Storm Information. Recheck Manufactured Home Tie-Downs. Fill Your Automobile Gas Tank. Check Batteries And Stock Up On Canned Food, First Aid Supplies, Drinking Water And Medications. Have A Least Three Gallons Of Water Per Person For At Least Three Days. Bring Outdoors Objects Such As Lawn Furniture Inside. Secure Your Boat. Get Extra Cash.
…Storm Surge And Storm Tide…
Coastal Storm Surge Of 2 To 4 Feet Above Normal Tide Levels Can Be Expected Along The Western Shore Of The Chesapeake Bay And The Tidal Potomac River. The Highest Water Levels Are Expected During The High Tidal Cycle Occurring Saturday Morning And Afternoon.
Here Are The Times Of High Tides On Saturday For Locations From North To South Along The Chesapeake Bay…
Havre De Grace…2:44 PM Bowley Bar…12:22 PM Fort Mchenry…11:31 AM Fells Point…11:40 AM Annapolis…10:01 AM Chesapeake Beach…8:44 AM Broomes Island…7:18 AM Solomons Island…6:53 AM Point Lookout…6:03 AM
And Along The Tidal Potomac River…
Washington Channel…1:34 PM Reagan National Airport…1:50 PM Alexandria…1:52 PM Quantico…12:42 PM Port Tobacco River…9:26 AM Dahlgren…8:34 AM Coltons Point…8:16 AM Colonial Beach…8:07 AM Piney Point…7:40 AM
…Winds…
Sustained Winds Of 40 Mph With Gusts Up To 60 Mph Are Possible Beginning Early Saturday Morning And Lasting Into The Late Afternoon. The Strongest Winds Will Occur East Of The Interstate 95 Corridor…With Southern Maryland Having The Highest Likelihood Of Strongest Winds. Winds Of This Magnitude May Cause Trees And Power Lines To Fall And Cause Scattered Power Outages.
…Probability Of Hurricane/Tropical Storm Conditions…
For Baltimore MD…
There Is A 30 Percent Chance Of Winds 39 Mph Or Greater.
For Annapolis MD…
There Is A 35 Percent Chance Of Winds 39 Mph Or Greater.
For Washington DC…
There Is A 30 Percent Chance Of Winds 39 Mph Or Greater.
…Inland Flooding…
Rain Will Begin Across Southern Maryland Beginning Friday Afternoon…However The Heaviest Rains Directly Associated With Hanna Are Expected Saturday Morning Through Mid Saturday Afternoon. Rainfall Totals Of 3 To 6 Inches Are Possible. These Amounts Could Cause Flash Flooding Of Small Streams…Creeks…And Highly Urbanized Areas.
…Next Update…
This Statement Will Be Updated By Midnight EDT If Not Sooner.
—– COMMENT: AUTHOR: A Yahoo! user DATE: 09/04/2008 20:34:02 FLASH FLOOD WATCH SATURDAY FROM GREATER BALTIMORE/WASHINGTON SOUTH AND EAST.. UNTIL 1:30AM EDT Urgent – Immediate Broadcast Requested Flood Watch National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 526 PM EDT Thu Sep 4 2008
…Flash Flood Watch Saturday From Greater Baltimore/Washington South And East…
District Of Columbia-Frederick MD-Carroll-Northern Baltimore- Harford-Montgomery-Howard-Southern Baltimore-Prince Georges- Anne Arundel-Charles-St. Marys-Calvert-Fauquier-Loudoun-Orange- Culpeper-Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park-Fairfax- Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria-Stafford-Spotsylvania- King George- Including The Cities Of…Washington…Frederick…Westminster… Gaithersburg…Columbia…Baltimore…Annapolis…Waldorf… St Marys City…Leesburg…Culpeper…Manassas…Manassas Park… Fairfax…Alexandria…Falls Church…Fredericksburg 526 PM EDT Thu Sep 4 2008
…Flash Flood Watch In Effect From Saturday Morning Through Saturday Afternoon…
The National Weather Service In Sterling Virginia Has Issued A
• Flash Flood Watch For Portions Of Maryland…The District Of Columbia And Virginia…Including The Following Areas…In Maryland…Anne Arundel…Calvert…Carroll…Charles… Frederick MD…Harford…Howard…Montgomery…Northern Baltimore…Prince Georges…Southern Baltimore And St. Marys. The District Of Columbia. In Virginia…Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria…Culpeper…Fairfax…Fauquier…King George…Loudoun…Orange…Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park…Spotsylvania And Stafford.
• From Saturday Morning Through Saturday Afternoon.
• Heavy Rain Associated With Tropical Storm Hanna Will Move North Across The Region Friday Afternoon Into Saturday. It Appears At This Time That The Heaviest Rains Would Fall Late Friday Night Into Early Saturday Afternoon. This Is Largely Dependent On The Exact Track Of Hanna. However…Along The Path Of This Storm Totals Of 3 To 6 Inches Are Expected. Latest Flash Flood Guidance Indicates That Amounts Of 3 To 4 Inches In 3 Hours Or Less Will Cause Small Streams And Creeks To Flow Out Of Their Banks.
• If Heavy Rain Develops…Expect Small Streams To Overflow And Low Lying Roads To Flood. Do Not Ever Drive Into Flood Waters.
A Flash Flood Watch Means That Conditions May Develop That Lead To Flash Flooding. Flash Flooding Is A Very Dangerous Situation.
You Should Monitor Later Forecasts And Be Prepared To Take Action Should Flash Flood Warnings Be Issued.
—– COMMENT: AUTHOR: A Yahoo! user DATE: 09/04/2008 20:36:07 000 WTNT33 KNHC 050245 TCPAT3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM HANNA ADVISORY NUMBER 33 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082008 1100 PM EDT THU SEP 04 2008
…LARGE HANNA HEADING TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST UNITED STATES COAST…
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THE SAVANNAH RIVER NORTHWARD TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER…INCLUDING PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA TO CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT…INCLUDING PAMLICO SOUND.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER NORTHWARD TO GREAT EGG INLET NEW JERSEY…INCLUDING THE CHESAPEAKE BAY…THE TIDAL POTOMAC… WASHINGTON D.C…AND THE DELAWARE BAY. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA…GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THE SAVANNAH RIVER SOUTHWARD TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA…INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS…PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 1100 PM EDT…0300Z…THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HANNA WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.5 NORTH…LONGITUDE 76.3 WEST OR ABOUT 50 MILES… 80 KM…EAST OF GREAT ABACO ISLAND AND ABOUT 540 MILES… 870 KM…SOUTH OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA.
HANNA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH…22 KM/HR. A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTH WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED ON FRIDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK…THE CENTER OF HANNA WILL CLEAR THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS EARLY FRIDAY…AND WILL BE APPROACHING THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES BY LATE FRIDAY. HOWEVER…RAINS AND WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH HANNA WILL REACH THE COAST WELL IN ADVANCE OF THE CENTER.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH…100 KM/HR…WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ONLY SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST PRIOR TO LANDFALL… ALTHOUGH IT IS STILL POSSIBLE FOR HANNA TO BECOME A HURRICANE.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 315 MILES…510 KM MAINLY TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 987 MB…29.15 INCHES.
HANNA COULD PRODUCE RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 3 INCHES OVER THE NORTHERN BAHAMAS AND THE EASTERN PORTIONS OF SOUTH AND NORTH CAROLINA…WITH MAXIMUM ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 5 INCHES POSSIBLE. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE FROM THE GEORGIA COAST SOUTHWARD TO THE CENTRAL FLORIDA COAST. VERY HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE LIKELY TO SPREAD RAPIDLY NORTHWARD INTO THE MID ATLANTIC STATES AND NEW ENGLAND FROM FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY AND MAY RESULT IN FLOODING.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS…ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES…CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF THE PATH OF THE CENTER OF HANNA.
REPEATING THE 1100 PM EDT POSITION…26.5 N…76.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD…NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…65 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…987 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 200 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500 AM EDT.
$$ FORECASTER AVILA
—– COMMENT: AUTHOR: A Yahoo! user DATE: 09/04/2008 20:36:40 000 WTNT34 KNHC 050246 TCPAT4 BULLETIN HURRICANE IKE ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092008 1100 PM AST THU SEP 04 2008
…IKE TURNS WESTWARD…REMAINS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE…
INTERESTS IN THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IKE.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA…INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS…PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 1100 PM AST…0300Z…THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.6 NORTH…LONGITUDE 59.5 WEST OR ABOUT 475 MILES… 760 KM…NORTH-NORTHEAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND ABOUT 755 MILES …1215 KM…EAST-NORTHEAST OF GRAND TURK ISLAND.
IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 14 MPH…22 KM/HR. A TURN TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST IS EXPECTED ON FRIDAY…AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY. ON THIS TRACK THE HURRICANE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE OVER THE OPEN WATERS OF THE WEST-CENTRAL ATLANTIC DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 135 MPH…215 KM/HR…WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IKE IS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES…55 KM…FROM THE CENTER…AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES…185 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 945 MB…27.91 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 1100 PM AST POSITION…23.6 N…59.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD…WEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…135 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…945 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 500 AM AST.
$$ FORECASTER BROWN
—– COMMENT: AUTHOR: A Yahoo! user DATE: 09/04/2008 20:37:34 TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM JOSEPHINE ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102008 1100 PM AST THU SEP 04 2008
AT 1100 PM AST…0300Z…THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JOSEPHINE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.1 NORTH…LONGITUDE 33.8 WEST OR ABOUT 630 MILES…1010 KM…WEST OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.
JOSEPHINE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH…17 KM/HR …AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH…75 KM/HR…WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES…280 KM FROM THE CENTER.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB…29.59 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 1100 PM AST POSITION…15.1 N…33.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD…WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1002 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 500 AM AST.
$$ FORECASTER RHOME
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