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SUNNY HERE BUT IS MORE TROPICAL ACTIVITY BREWING ??? DATE: 08/12/2008 05:31:55

TODAY: MOSTLY SUNNY AND VERY WARM LO: 64 HI: 86

WEDNESDAY: PARTLY CLOUDY AND STILL WARM LO: 62 HI: 84

THURSDAY: PARTLY CLOUDY AND A BIT COOLER LO: 62 HI: 84

FRIDAY: PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A VERY SMALL CHANCE FOR A LATE DAY OR EVENING ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM BUT AGAIN LIKELY NO STORMS AT ALL LO: 60 HI: 82

SATURDAY: PARTLY CLOUDY AND A BIT WARMER AGAIN LO: 62 HI: 84

"WEATHER OR NOT"

FORECASTER: SCHLEY

—– COMMENT: AUTHOR: A Yahoo! user DATE: 08/14/2008 16:01:15 WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION FOR WATCH 829 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 654 PM EDT THU AUG 14 2008 MDC003-005-009-013-017-025-027-033-037-510-150200- /O.CON.KLWX.SV.A.0829.000000T0000Z-080815T0200Z/ SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 829 REMAINS VALID UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS

IN MARYLAND THIS WATCH INCLUDES 9 COUNTIES

IN CENTRAL MARYLAND

ANNE ARUNDEL HOWARD PRINCE GEORGES

IN NORTH CENTRAL MARYLAND

CARROLL

IN NORTHERN MARYLAND

BALTIMORE HARFORD

IN SOUTHERN MARYLAND

CALVERT CHARLES ST. MARYS

IN MARYLAND THIS WATCH INCLUDES 1 INDEPENDENT CITY

IN NORTHERN MARYLAND

BALTIMORE CITY

THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF…ABERDEEN…ANNAPOLIS…BALTIMORE… BEL AIR…CHESAPEAKE BEACH…COLUMBIA…EDGEWOOD…FALLSTON… HAVRE DE GRACE…JOPPATOWNE…LAUREL…ST MARYS…TOWSON… WALDORF AND WESTMINSTER. —– COMMENT: AUTHOR: A Yahoo! user DATE: 08/14/2008 16:01:45 SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 622 PM EDT THU AUG 14 2008 MDZ014-018-142300- ANNE ARUNDEL MD-CALVERT MD- 622 PM EDT THU AUG 14 2008 …STRONG THUNDERSTORMS TO AFFECT ANNE ARUNDEL AND CALVERT COUNTIES…

AT 622 PM EDT…DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER SOUTHERN ANNE ARUNDEL AND NORTHERN CALVERT COUNTIES…NEAR TRACYS LANDING…MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

LOCATIONS THAT WILL LIKELY BE AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE SHADY SIDE AND MAYO.

WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH AND SMALL HAIL CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM. —– COMMENT: AUTHOR: A Yahoo! user DATE: 08/14/2008 16:06:01 000 ABNT20 KNHC 141739 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 PM EDT THU AUG 14 2008

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC…CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO…

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 15 MPH INTO THE VIRGIN ISLANDS. WHILE THE ASSOCIATED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS BECOME MORE CONCENTRATED…MOST OF THE ACTIVITY IS LOCATED WELL EAST OF THE LOW CENTER AT THIS TIME. NOAA AND AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT ARE CURRENTLY INVESTIGATING THE SYSTEM TO SEE IF A TROPICAL DEPRESSION HAS FORMED. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT…THIS SYSTEM COULD BRING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS TO PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS…THE VIRGIN ISLANDS…PUERTO RICO…AND HISPANIOLA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO…AND INTERESTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS LOCATED ABOUT 1100 MILES EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES. SHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM REMAINS LIMITED AND DISORGANIZED AND DEVELOPMENT…IF ANY…IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR AS THE SYSTEM CONTINUES MOVING WESTWARD ABOUT 10 TO 15 MPH.

ELSEWHERE.. TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$ FORECASTER BEVEN —– COMMENT: AUTHOR: A Yahoo! user DATE: 08/15/2008 06:09:37 000 ABNT20 KNHC 151142 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 AM EDT FRI AUG 15 2008

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC…CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO…

THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS INCREASED THIS MORNING IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED OVER PUERTO RICO. WHILE THIS SYSTEM CONTINUES TO SHOW SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION…IT DOES NOT YET APPEAR TO HAVE A WELL-DEFINED CENTER OF CIRCULATION AT THE SURFACE. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM AT ANY TIME WITHIN THE NEXT DAY OR SO… ALTHOUGH WHEN AND WHERE A DEPRESSION MIGHT FORM IS UNCERTAIN…IN PART DUE TO POTENTIAL INTERACTIONS WITH THE LAND MASS OF HISPANIOLA. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THIS SYSTEM LATER TODAY. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT…HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS WILL OCCUR OVER PORTIONS OF THE VIRGIN ISLANDS…PUERTO RICO…AND HISPANIOLA TODAY AND TONIGHT…AND OVER PORTIONS OF EASTERN CUBA…THE TURKS AND CAICOS…AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS ON SATURDAY. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. INTERESTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS BECOME A LITTLE MORE CONCENTRATED WITHIN A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE…ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE…THAT IS LOCATED ABOUT 750 MILES EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES. GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH.

ELSEWHERE.. TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$ FORECASTER KNABB —– COMMENT: AUTHOR: A Yahoo! user DATE: 08/16/2008 21:44:54 TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM FAY ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062008 1100 PM EDT SAT AUG 16 2008

…FAY EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN ON SUNDAY…

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CUBA FROM THE PROVINCE OF SANCTI SPIRITUS EASTWARD TO GUANTANAMO…AND ALSO FOR CAYMAN BRAC AND LITTLE CAYMAN.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CUBA FROM THE PROVINCE OF MATANZAS EASTWARD TO SANCTI SPIRITUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS… JAMAICA…AND THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.

AT 11 PM EDT…0300 UTC…THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR HAITI HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.

INTERESTS IN WESTERN CUBA…THE FLORIDA KEYS…AND THE FLORIDA PENINSULA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA…INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS…PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 1100 PM EDT…0300 UTC…THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.4 NORTH…LONGITUDE 76.3 WEST OR ABOUT 175 MILES…280 KM…SOUTHEAST OF CAMAGUEY CUBA AND ABOUT 100 MILES… 165 KM…NORTH-NORTHEAST OF KINGSTON JAMAICA.

FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 14 MPH…22 KM/HR. A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND NORTHWEST WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THIS TRACK…THE CENTER OF FAY WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NEAR OR OVER THE SOUTHERN COAST OF EASTERN AND CENTRAL CUBA SUNDAY…AND WILL BE NEAR OR OVER WESTERN CUBA SUNDAY NIGHT OR MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH…75 KM/HR…WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND FAY COULD BE APPROACHING HURRICANE STRENGTH AS IT NEARS WESTERN CUBA.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES…165 KM FROM THE CENTER. GUANTANAMO CUBA RECENTLY REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 44 MPH…71 KM/HR WITH GUSTS TO 52 MPH…83 KM/HR. RAINBANDS ASSOCIATED WITH FAY ARE AFFECTING THE BAHAMAS AND ARE APPROACHING THE FLORIDA STRAITS.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB…29.68 INCHES.

TIDES OF 1 TO 3 FEET FEET ABOVE NORMAL CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW.

FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES OVER HAITI…EASTERN AND CENTRAL CUBA…JAMAICA…AND THE NORTHERN CAYMAN ISLANDS…WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER GRAND CAYMAN AND OVER THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS.

REPEATING THE 1100 PM EDT POSITION…19.4 N…76.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD…WEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1005 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 200 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500 AM EDT.

$$ FORECASTER AVILA —– COMMENT: AUTHOR: A Yahoo! user DATE: 08/17/2008 09:37:17 TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM FAY ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062008 1100 AM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008

…FAY MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD SOUTH OF CUBA…NEW WARNINGS AND WATCHES IN FLORIDA…

AT 11 AM EDT…1500 UTC…THE HURRICANE WATCH ON THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA IS EXTENDED NORTHWARD TO ANNA MARIA ISLAND. A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN NOW EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM SOUTH OF OCEAN REEF TO KEY WEST…INCLUDING THE DRY TORTUGAS AND FLORIDA BAY…AND ALONG THE FLORIDA MAINLAND FROM CARD SOUND BRIDGE WESTWARD TO ANNA MARIA ISLAND. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA…GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CUBA FROM THE PROVINCES OF LA HABANA AND CIUDAD DE LA HABANA EASTWARD TO SANCTI SPIRITUS.

AT 11 AM EDT…1500 UTC…A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM CRAIG KEY WESTWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS… INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CUBA FROM THE PROVINCES OF LA HABANA AND CIUDAD DE LA HABANA EASTWARD TO GUANTANAMO…AND ALSO FOR CAYMAN BRAC AND LITTLE CAYMAN.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM OCEAN REEF NORTHWARD TO JUPITER INLET…AND FOR LAKE OKEECHOBEE. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA…GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

AT 11 AM EDT…1500 UTC…THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS DISCONTINUED FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA AND THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE FLORIDA PENINSULA AND THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF FAY.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA…INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS…PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 1100 AM EDT…1500 UTC…THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.5 NORTH…LONGITUDE 78.6 WEST OR ABOUT 75 MILES…125 KM…SOUTHWEST OF CAMAGUEY CUBA AND ABOUT 350 MILES… 560 KM…SOUTHEAST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA.

FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH…20 KM/HR. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT…WITH A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH EXPECTED ON MONDAY. FAY IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NEAR THE SOUTH COAST OF CUBA TODAY…CROSS WESTERN CUBA OVERNIGHT TONIGHT OR MONDAY MORNING…AND MOVE NEAR THE FLORIDA KEYS MONDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH…85 KM/HR…WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND FAY COULD BE APPROACHING HURRICANE STRENGTH WHEN IT REACHES WESTERN CUBA. ALTHOUGH SOME WEAKENING IS LIKELY AS FAY CROSSES CUBA…FAY IS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR HURRICANE STRENGTH AS IT APPROACHES THE FLORIDA KEYS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES…165 KM FROM THE CENTER. CABO CRUZ CUBA RECENTLY REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 66 MPH…107 KM/HR.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB…29.62 INCHES.

TIDES OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE IN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW.

FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES OVER MUCH OF CUBA…JAMAICA…AND THE NORTHERN CAYMAN ISLANDS…WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER GRAND CAYMAN AND OVER THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS. HEAVY RAIN MAY BEGIN TO AFFECT THE FLORIDA KEYS AND SOUTH FLORIDA LATER TODAY AND INTO MONDAY. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES…WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS AND SOUTH FLORIDA.

REPEATING THE 1100 AM EDT POSITION…20.5 N…78.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD…WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1003 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 200 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500 PM EDT.

$$ FORECASTER BEVEN/BROWN

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