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TO SNOW OR NOT TO SNOW … THAT IS THE QUESTION ???

*** SNOW SHOULD DEVELOP IN OUR AREA BETWEEN 6 AND 8 PM TONIGHT BUT END BETWEEN 12 AND 2 AM WITH THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL BETWEEN 9 AND 11 PM – UPDATED AT 10 AM ON 01/11/11 ***

TODAY: MOSTLY SUNNY BUT RATHER WINDY AND ALSO VERY COLD LO: 18 HI: 34

MONDAY: PARTLY CLOUDY BUT RATHER BREEZY AND STILL VERY COLD LO: 21 HI: 31

TUESDAY: CLOUDY BUT BREEZY AND VERY COLD WITH SNOW … THE SNOW MAY BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES AND I WOULD NOT RULE OUT THE CHANCE FOR SOME THUNDER AS WELL (TOTAL SNOWFALL IN THE BALTIMORE AREA SHOULD RANGE FROM 6 TO 8 INCHES WITH SOME LOCAL AREAS GETTING AS MUCH AS 10 OR 12 INCHES OF SNOW) LO: 23 HI: 28

WEDNESDAY: CLOUDY WITH A FEW MORNING SNOW SHOWERS AROUND … FOLLOWED BY A MOSTLY CLOUDY BUT RATHER WINDY AFTERNOON LO: 24 HI: 32

THURSDAY: PARTLY CLOUDY BUT BREEZY AND STILL VERY COLD LO: 20 HI: 28

FRIDAY: PARTLY CLOUDY BUT BREEZY AND NOT AS COLD LO: 23 HI: 33

NOTES: (A) THE "MONEY IN THE BANK" STORM SYSTEM ARRIVES BY LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON IN THE BALTIMORE AREA WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF AS MUCH AS 6 TO 12 INCHES OF SNOWFALL … AND (B) I'M STICKING TO MY JANUARY 3RD FORECAST FOR 6 TO 12 INCHES … I MEAN WHY BACK DOWN NOW ??? AT THE VERY LEAST I STILL HAVE MODEL SUPPORT FOR THIS FORECAST FROM MULTIPLE WEATHER MODELS THAT ARE SHOWN BELOW !!!

*** Justin Berk, Meteorologist Notes: (A) As I write this, there is a chance the coastal Low is bombing out (1mb drop per hour) if so…. look out – Updated As Of 815 PM On 01/11/11 And (B) Local Winning Snow Totals For Maryland: Bel Air 4.5", North East 5.5", Frederick 4", Hereford 3.5", Ellicott City 3", Glyndon 3" And BWI 2" – Updated As Of 530 AM On 01/12/11 ***

*** The Capital Weather Gang, Note: The back edge of the snow is now in central Loudoun & Frederick County with about one more hour of snow in DC, Fairfax, and Montgomery Counties, And two more hours off to the northeast in PG, Howard, and Baltimore Counties – Updated As Of 945 PM On 01/11/11 ***

"WEATHER OR NOT"

FORECASTER: SCHLEY …

HERE IS A WATER WAPOR IMAGE OF THE STORM LOCATED OVER TEXAS AS OF 0Z ON 01/09/11:

THE WEATHER CHANNEL SNOWFALL TOTALS MAP ISSUED AT 18Z ON 01/10/11:

HERE IS THE MODEL SUPPORT I HAVE FOR THE FORECASTED SNOWSTORM ON TUESDAY:

THE 0Z GFS ENSAMBLES FROM 01/09/11

THE 12Z JMA MODEL FROM 01/09/11

THE 0Z NAM MODEL FROM 01/10/11

THE 12Z NAM MODEL FROM 01/10/11

AND ALSO THE 12Z NAM MODEL SIMULATED RADAR FROM 01/10/11

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