Brian Schley
Jun 9, 200921 min
TODAY: MOSTLY CLOUDY AND WARM WITH SOME HAZE BUT ALSO HIGHER HUMIDITY LEVELS ALONG WITH WIDELY SCATTERED AFTERNOON STORMS IN SOME AREAS BUT IF IT WERE A BET I THINK I WOULD BET AGAINST THE SHOWERS AND STORMS THRU ATLEAST THIS EVENING LO: 69 HI: 79
THURSDAY: MOSTLY CLOUDY AND WARM WITH HUMID AND HAZY CONDITIONS PERSISTING PLUS WE HAVE A MUCH GREATER CHANCE FOR MORE WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND STORMS TO DEVELOP FROM TIME TO TIME LO: 66 HI: 76
FRIDAY: PARTLY CLOUDY AND STILL WARM WITH A VERY SLIGHT AND ALMOST NON-EXISTANT CHANCE OF SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS LO: 69 HI: 79
SATURDAY: PARTLY CLOUDY AND WARMER WITH AN ISOLATED LATE DAY STORM POSSIBLE BUT I WOULD NOT SUGGEST THAT YOU PUT ANY MONEY ON IT AS I TRUELY THINK THAT IT WILL STAY DRY ACROSS MOST OF NORTH CENTRAL MARYLAND LO: 72 HI: 84
SUNDAY: SUNNY AND VERY NICE LO: 74 HI: 88
"WEATHER OR NOT"
FORECASTER: SCHLEY
—–
COMMENT:
AUTHOR: A Yahoo! user
DATE: 08/27/2008 10:54:04
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM GUSTAV ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072008
1100 AM EDT WED AUG 27 2008
…GUSTAV STILL BRINGING HEAVY RAINS AND SQUALLS TO PORTIONS OF
HAITI…
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR HAITI FROM THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC-HAITI BORDER WESTWARD TO LE MOLE ST NICHOLAS. A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
AT 11 AM EDT…1500 UTC…THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE NORTH
COAST OF HAITI EAST OF LE MOLE ST NICHOLAS IS DISCONTINUED.
A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING ARE IN EFFECT FOR
JAMAICA.
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CUBA FOR THE PROVINCES OF
GUANTANAMO…SANTIAGO DE CUBA…AND GRANMA.
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF LAS
TUNAS AND HOLGUIN AND ALL OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.
INTERESTS IN CENTRAL AND WESTERN CUBA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF GUSTAV.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA…INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS…PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 1100 AM EDT…1500Z…THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GUSTAV WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.8 NORTH…LONGITUDE 74.0 WEST OR ABOUT 110
MILES…180 KM…WEST OF PORT AU PRINCE HAITI AND ABOUT 125 MILES…
200 KM…SOUTHEAST OF GUANTANAMO CUBA.
GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH…7 KM/HR. A
WEST-NORTHWEST TO WEST TRACK IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO
WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK…GUSTAV SHOULD PASS BETWEEN JAMAICA AND THE SOUTHEASTERN
COAST OF CUBA ON THURSDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH…95 KM/HR…WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SLOW STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST ONCE GUSTAV MOVES AWAY FROM
HAITI…AND THE STORM COULD REGAIN HURRICANE STRENGTH WITHIN THE
NEXT DAY OR TWO.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES…85 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB…29.44 INCHES.
GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO
12 INCHES OVER HISPANIOLA…EASTERN CUBA…JAMAICA…AND THE CAYMAN
ISLANDS…WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 25 INCHES
POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH
FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS
ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES CAN BE EXPECTED IN
AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS IN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA.
REPEATING THE 1100 AM EDT POSITION…18.8 N…74.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD…WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…60
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…997 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 200 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500
PM EDT.
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
—–
COMMENT:
AUTHOR: A Yahoo! user
DATE: 08/28/2008 15:00:19
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM GUSTAV ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072008
500 PM EDT THU AUG 28 2008
…GUSTAV MOVING ACROSS JAMAICA…
AT 500 PM EDT…2100 UTC…THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WATCH FOR WESTERN CUBA…FOR THE PROVINCES OF ISLA DE
JUVENTUD…PINAR DEL RIO…LA HABANA…AND CIUDAD DE LA HABANA. A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED FOR THE PROVINCE OF
MATANZAS. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA…GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA…GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCE OF
GRANMA.
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN CENTRAL AND WESTERN CUBA SHOULD CLOSELY
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF GUSTAV.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA…INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS…PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 500 PM EDT…2100Z…THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GUSTAV WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.1 NORTH…LONGITUDE 76.6 WEST OR ABOUT 15
MILES… 25 KM…EAST-NORTHEAST OF KINGSTON JAMAICA AND ABOUT 310
MILES…505 KM…EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GRAND CAYMAN.
GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 6 MPH…9 KM/HR. A TURN
TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND NORTHWEST IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THIS TRACK…THE CENTER OF GUSTAV WILL CROSS
JAMAICA TONIGHT…AND MOVE NEAR OR OVER THE CAYMAN ISLANDS FRIDAY
OR FRIDAY NIGHT.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH…110 KM/HR…WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS POSSIBLE TONIGHT WHILE GUSTAV CROSSES
JAMAICA…BUT STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST ON FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY…AND GUSTAV COULD BECOME A HURRICANE BY TOMORROW.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES…75 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON EARLIER AIRCRAFT
DATA IS 985 MB…29.09 INCHES.
GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO
12 INCHES ACROSS JAMAICA AND THE CAYMAN ISLANDS…WITH ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 25 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS WILL
LIKELY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHERN
CUBA. RAINFALL WILL BE DIMINISHING OVER HAITI TONIGHT…WITH AN
ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAINFALL POSSIBLE.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS
CAN BE EXPECTED IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS IN THE HURRICANE WARNING
AREA.
REPEATING THE 500 PM EDT POSITION…18.1 N…76.6 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD…WEST NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…70 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…985 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 800 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100
PM EDT.
$$
FORECASTER KNABB
—–
COMMENT:
AUTHOR: A Yahoo! user
DATE: 08/28/2008 15:01:18
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM HANNA ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082008
500 PM AST THU AUG 28 2008
…HANNA STRUGGLING AS IT CONTINUES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD…
AT 500 PM AST…2100Z…THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HANNA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.7 NORTH…LONGITUDE 60.1 WEST OR ABOUT 260
MILES…420 KM…NORTHEAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS.
HANNA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH…19 KM/HR. A
TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TONIGHT OR FRIDAY. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK…HANNA WILL MOVE AWAY FROM THE NORTHERN LEEWARD
ISLANDS AND BE CENTERED WELL TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE BAHAMAS DURING
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH…65 KM/HR…WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES…85 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB…29.62 INCHES.
HANNA COULD PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS.
REPEATING THE 500 PM AST POSITION…20.7 N…60.1 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD…WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…40
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1003 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 PM AST.
$$
FORECASTER RHOME
—–
COMMENT:
AUTHOR: A Yahoo! user
DATE: 08/28/2008 20:06:20
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM GUSTAV ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072008
1100 PM EDT THU AUG 28 2008
…CENTER OF GUSTAV CONTINUES SLOWLY WESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTH COAST
OF JAMAICA…
HURRICANE WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA AND THE CAYMAN
ISLANDS. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO
COMPLETION.
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN CUBA…FOR THE
PROVINCES OF ISLA DE JUVENTUD…PINAR DEL RIO…LA HABANA…AND
CIUDAD DE LA HABANA. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA…GENERALLY WITHIN
36 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCE OF
GRANMA.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCE OF
MATANZAS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA…GENERALLY WITHIN 36
HOURS.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN CENTRAL AND WESTERN CUBA SHOULD CLOSELY
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF GUSTAV.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA…INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS…PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 1100 PM EDT…0300Z…THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GUSTAV WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.8 NORTH…LONGITUDE 77.3 WEST OR ABOUT 35
MILES… 55 KM…WEST-SOUTHWEST OF KINGSTON JAMAICA AND ABOUT 275
MILES…445 KM…EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GRAND CAYMAN.
GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 7 MPH…11 KM/HR. A TURN
TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND NORTHWEST IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THIS TRACK…THE CENTER OF GUSTAV WILL PASS NEAR
OR OVER WESTERN JAMAICA TONIGHT…MOVE NEAR OR OVER THE CAYMAN
ISLANDS FRIDAY OR FRIDAY NIGHT…AND APPROACH WESTERN CUBA ON
SATURDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH…110 KM/HR…WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS…AND
GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE FRIDAY OR FRIDAY NIGHT.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES…75 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 988 MB…29.18 INCHES.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS
CAN BE EXPECTED IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS IN THE HURRICANE WARNING
AREA.
GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO
12 INCHES ACROSS JAMAICA AND THE CAYMAN ISLANDS…WITH ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 25 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS WILL
LIKELY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHERN
CUBA. RAINFALL WILL BE DIMINISHING OVER HAITI TONIGHT…WITH AN
ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAINFALL POSSIBLE.
REPEATING THE 1100 PM EDT POSITION…17.8 N…77.3 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD…WEST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…70 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…988 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 200 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500
AM EDT.
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
—–
COMMENT:
AUTHOR: A Yahoo! user
DATE: 08/28/2008 20:07:28
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM HANNA ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082008
1100 PM AST THU AUG 28 2008
…HANNA STRENGTHENS NORTHEAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
AT 1100 PM AST…0300Z…THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HANNA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.1 NORTH…LONGITUDE 60.6 WEST OR ABOUT 260
MILES…415 KM…NORTHEAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS.
HANNA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH…11 KM/HR. A
MOTION BETWEEN WEST-NORTHWEST AND NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED THROUGH
FRIDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK…HANNA WILL GRADUALLY MOVE AWAY FROM
THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS AND BE LOCATED WELL TO THE NORTHEAST
OF THE BAHAMAS DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH…85 KM/HR…WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS AND HANNA COULD BECOME A HURRICANE BY SATURDAY.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES…85 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB…29.53 INCHES.
HANNA`S SOUTHERN TRAILING RAIN BANDS COULD PRODUCE RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE LEEWARD
ISLANDS.
REPEATING THE 1100 PM AST POSITION…21.1 N…60.6 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD…WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…50
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1000 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 AM AST.
$$
FORECASTER STEWART/BEVEN
—–
COMMENT:
AUTHOR: A Yahoo! user
DATE: 08/29/2008 05:35:39
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM GUSTAV INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 18A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072008
800 AM EDT FRI AUG 29 2008
…CENTER OF GUSTAV ABOUT TO MOVE WEST OF JAMAICA…
HURRICANE WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA AND THE CAYMAN
ISLANDS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED
TO COMPLETION.
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN CUBA…FOR THE
PROVINCES OF ISLA DE JUVENTUD…PINAR DEL RIO…LA HABANA…AND
CIUDAD DE LA HABANA.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCE OF
GRANMA.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCE OF
MATANZAS. TROPICAL STORM WATCHES MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL CUBA LATER TODAY.
INTERESTS THROUGHOUT THE GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS
OF GUSTAV.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA…PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 800 AM EDT…1200Z…THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GUSTAV WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.3 NORTH…LONGITUDE 78.3 WEST…NEAR THE
WESTERN END OF JAMAICA…OR ABOUT 100 MILES…160 KM…
WEST-NORTHWEST OF KINGSTON JAMAICA AND ABOUT 200 MILES…320
KM…EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GRAND CAYMAN.
GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH…13 KM/HR.
A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS FORECAST BY TOMORROW. ON THIS
TRACK…THE CENTER OF GUSTAV WILL LEAVE JAMAICA THIS MORNING…MOVE
NEAR OR OVER THE CAYMAN ISLANDS LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT…AND MOVE
NEAR OR OVER WESTERN PORTIONS OF CUBA ON SATURDAY AND SATURDAY
NIGHT.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 65 MPH…100 KM/HR…WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. STRENGTHENING IS LIKELY DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS…AND
GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TODAY OR TOMORROW.
GUSTAV COULD BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE BEFORE REACHING WESTERN CUBA.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES…220 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE
RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 988 MB…29.18 INCHES.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS
CAN BE EXPECTED IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS IN THE HURRICANE WARNING
AREAS.
GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO
12 INCHES ACROSS JAMAICA AND THE CAYMAN ISLANDS…WITH ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 25 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS WILL
LIKELY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHERN
CUBA.
REPEATING THE 800 AM EDT POSITION…18.3 N…78.3 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD…WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…65
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…988 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 AM EDT.
$$
FORECASTER KNABB
—–
COMMENT:
AUTHOR: A Yahoo! user
DATE: 08/29/2008 05:36:15
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM HANNA ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082008
500 AM AST FRI AUG 29 2008
…HANNA IS POORLY ORGANIZED AT THIS TIME…
AT 500 AM AST…0900Z…THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HANNA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.7 NORTH…LONGITUDE 62.3 WEST OR ABOUT 245
MILES…400 KM…NORTH-NORTHEAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS.
HANNA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH…22 KM/HR. A
MOTION BETWEEN WEST-NORTHWEST AND NORTHWEST AWAY FROM THE LEEWARD
ISLANDS IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH…85 KM/HR…WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST TODAY BUT HANNA COULD
BECOME A HURRICANE IN A COUPLE OF DAYS.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES…85 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB…29.53 INCHES.
RAIN BANDS ASSOCIATED WITH HANNA COULD PRODUCE RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE LEEWARD
ISLAND
REPEATING THE 500 AM AST POSITION…21.7 N…62.3 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD…NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…50 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1000 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 AM AST.
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
—–
COMMENT:
AUTHOR: A Yahoo! user
DATE: 08/29/2008 15:45:16
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
HURRICANE GUSTAV ADVISORY NUMBER 20
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072008
500 PM EDT FRI AUG 29 2008
…GUSTAV BECOMES A HURRICANE OVER THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN…
AT 500 PM EDT…2100 UTC…A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS ISSUED FOR THE
LOWER FLORIDA KEYS FROM WEST OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE WESTWARD TO
DRY TORTUGAS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA…GENERALLY WITHIN 36
HOURS.
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS…AND
FOR THE WESTERN CUBAN PROVINCES OF ISLA DE JUVENTUD…PINAR DEL
RIO…LA HABANA…AND CIUDAD DE LA HABANA.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA…AND FOR THE
CENTRAL CUBAN PROVINCES OF MATANZAS…CIENFUEGOS…VILLA
CLARA…SANCTI SPIRITUS…CIEGO DE AVILA…CAMAGUEY…AND GRANMA.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA…PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 500 PM EDT…2100Z…THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUSTAV WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 19.2 NORTH…LONGITUDE 79.7 WEST OR ABOUT 100 MILES…
160 KM…EAST OF GRAND CAYMAN AND ABOUT 380 MILES…610 KM…
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA.
GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH…19 KM/HR…AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS. ON THIS TRACK…THE CENTER OF GUSTAV WILL PASS NEAR OR
OVER THE CAYMAN ISLANDS TONIGHT…OVER THE WESTERN PORTIONS OF CUBA
ON SATURDAY…AND INTO THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO ON SATURDAY
NIGHT OR SUNDAY.
DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH…120 KM/HR…WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
GUSTAV IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE.
STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS…AND
GUSTAV COULD BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE NEAR THE TIME IT CROSSES
WESTERN CUBA.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES…45 KM…FROM
THE CENTER…AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160
MILES…260 KM.
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY THE RECONNAISSANCE
AIRCRAFT WAS 980 MB…28.94 INCHES.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS
IS POSSIBLE IN THE CAYMAN ISLANDS…WITH 8 TO 13 FEET POSSIBLE NEAR
WHERE THE CENTER OF GUSTAV CROSSES WESTERN CUBA…INCLUDING ISLA DE
JUVENTUD.
GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO
12 INCHES ACROSS JAMAICA…THE CAYMAN ISLANDS…AND WESTERN
CUBA…WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 25 INCHES POSSIBLE.
THESE RAINS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND
MUD SLIDES. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE
OVER SOUTHERN CUBA.
REPEATING THE 500 PM EDT POSITION…19.2 N…79.7 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD…NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…75 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…980 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 800 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100
PM EDT.
$$
FORECASTER KNABB
—–
COMMENT:
AUTHOR: A Yahoo! user
DATE: 08/29/2008 15:46:05
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM HANNA ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082008
500 PM AST FRI AUG 29 2008
…HANNA PASSING WELL NORTH OF THE VIRGIN ISLANDS…
INTERESTS IN THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS AND THE SOUTHEASTERN
BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF HANNA.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA…INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS…PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 500 PM AST…2100Z…THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HANNA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.8 NORTH…LONGITUDE 63.8 WEST OR ABOUT 280
MILES…450 KM…NORTH-NORTHEAST OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO AND ABOUT
470 MILES…755 KM…EAST OF GRAND TURK ISLAND.
HANNA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH…17 KM/HR.
A MOTION BETWEEN WEST-NORTHWEST AND NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THIS TRACK…THE CENTER OF HANNA IS
FORECAST TO PASS WELL OF THE VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO
TONIGHT AND SATURDAY…AND THEN BE NORTHEAST OF THE SOUTHEASTERN
BAHAMAS ON SUNDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH…85 KM/HR…WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS AND HANNA COULD BE NEAR HURRICANE STRENGTH ON SUNDAY.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES…140 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB…29.53 INCHES.
RAIN BANDS ASSOCIATED WITH HANNA COULD PRODUCE RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE LEEWARD
ISLANDS.
REPEATING THE 500 PM AST POSITION…21.8 N…63.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD…WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…50
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1000 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 PM AST.
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
—–
COMMENT:
AUTHOR: A Yahoo! user
DATE: 08/29/2008 20:04:23
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
HURRICANE GUSTAV ADVISORY NUMBER 21
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072008
1100 PM EDT FRI AUG 29 2008
…CENTER OF GUSTAV MOVING THROUGH THE CAYMAN ISLANDS…
AT 11 PM EDT…0300 UTC…A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE
CENTRAL CUBAN PROVINCES OF MATANZAS…CIENFUEGOS…AND VILLA CLARA.
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA…GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
AT 1100 PM EDT…0300 UTC…A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT
FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS WEST OF KEY WEST TO THE DRY TORTUGAS. A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS…AND
FOR THE WESTERN CUBAN PROVINCES OF ISLA DE JUVENTUD…PINAR DEL
RIO…LA HABANA…AND CIUDAD DE LA HABANA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT
LIFE AND PROPERTY IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA SHOULD BE RUSHED TO
COMPLETION.
AT 11 PM EDT…0300 UTC…THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS DISCONTINUED
FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCE OF GRANMA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS
IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA…AND FOR THE CENTRAL CUBAN PROVINCES OF
MATANZAS…CIENFUEGOS…VILLA CLARA…SANCTI SPIRITUS…CIEGO DE
AVILA…AND CAMAGUEY.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS
WEST OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO KEY WEST.
INTERESTS IN THE GULF OF MEXICO AND THE NORTHERN GULF COAST SHOULD
CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF GUSTAV.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA…INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS…PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 1100 PM EDT…0300Z…THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUSTAV WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 19.5 NORTH…LONGITUDE 80.4 WEST OR ABOUT 25 MILES…
40 KM…WEST SOUTHWEST OF LITTLE CAYMAN ISLAND. THIS POSITION IS
ALSO ABOUT 55 MILES…85 KM…EAST-NORTHEAST OF GRAND CAYMAN AND
ABOUT 330 MILES…530 KM…EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE WESTERN TIP OF
CUBA.
GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH…17 KM/HR…AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS. ON THIS TRACK…THE CENTER OF GUSTAV WILL PASS NEAR OR
OVER THE CAYMAN ISLANDS TONIGHT…OVER THE WESTERN PORTIONS OF CUBA
ON SATURDAY…AND INTO THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO ON SATURDAY
NIGHT OR SUNDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH…130 KM/HR…WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GUSTAV IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT TWO DAYS…AND
GUSTAVE COULD BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE AS IT APPROACHES WESTERN
CUBA.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES…95 KM…FROM
THE CENTER…AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160
MILES…260 KM.
A NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT RECENTLY REPORTED A MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE OF 974 MB…28.76 INCHES.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS
IS POSSIBLE IN THE CAYMAN ISLANDS…WITH 14 TO 19 FEET POSSIBLE NEAR
WHERE THE CENTER OF GUSTAV CROSSES WESTERN CUBA…INCLUDING ISLA DE
JUVENTUD.
GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO
12 INCHES ACROSS THE CAYMAN ISLANDS…AND CENTRAL AND WESTERN
CUBA…WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 25 INCHES POSSIBLE.
THESE RAINS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND
MUD SLIDES. THE RAINFALL THREAT WILL BE DIMINISHING ACROSS JAMAICA
AND EASTERN CUBA TONIGHT. PRECIPITATION FROM GUSTAV MAY BEGIN TO
AFFECT THE FLORIDA KEYS AND SOUTH FLORIDA DURING SATURDAY.
REPEATING THE 1100 PM EDT POSITION…19.5 N…80.4 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD…NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…80 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…974 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 200 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500
AM EDT.
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
—–
COMMENT:
AUTHOR: A Yahoo! user
DATE: 08/29/2008 20:05:37
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM HANNA ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082008
1100 PM AST FRI AUG 29 2008
…HANNA REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED…BUT STILL A TROPICAL STORM…
INTERESTS IN THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS AND THE SOUTHEASTERN
BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF HANNA.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA…INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS…PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 1100 PM AST…0300Z…THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HANNA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.1 NORTH…LONGITUDE 65.3 WEST OR ABOUT 260
MILES…420 KM…NORTH OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO AND ABOUT 375 MILES
…600 KM…EAST OF GRAND TURK ISLAND.
HANNA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH…22 KM/HR.
A GENERAL WEST-NORTHWEST TO NORTHWEST MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THIS TRACK…THE CENTER OF HANNA IS
FORECAST TO PASS WELL NORTH OF THE VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO
TONIGHT AND SATURDAY…AND IS EXPECTED TO APPROACH THE SOUTHEASTERN
BAHAMAS FROM THE NORTHEAST ON SUNDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH…85 KM/HR…WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS AND HANNA COULD BE NEAR HURRICANE STRENGTH ON SUNDAY.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES…185 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB…29.59 INCHES.
RAIN BANDS ASSOCIATED WITH HANNA COULD PRODUCE RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE LEEWARD
ISLANDS.
REPEATING THE 1100 PM AST POSITION…22.1 N…65.3 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD…WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…50
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1002 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 AM AST.
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS/BEVEN
BULLETIN
—–
COMMENT:
AUTHOR: A Yahoo! user
DATE: 08/30/2008 02:19:10
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
HURRICANE GUSTAV ADVISORY NUMBER 22
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072008
500 AM EDT SAT AUG 30 2008
…GUSTAV RAPIDLY STRENGTHENING AS IT TAKES AIM ON WESTERN CUBA…
AT 500 AM EDT…0900 UTC…THE GOVERNMENT OF JAMAICA HAS
DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR JAMAICA.
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS…AND
FOR THE WESTERN CUBAN PROVINCES OF PINAR DEL RIO…LA HABANA…
CIUDAD DE LA HABANA AND THE ISLA DE JUVENTUD. PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA SHOULD BE
RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL CUBAN PROVINCES
OF MATANZAS…CIENFUEGOS…AND VILLA CLARA. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS
THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA…GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA
KEYS WEST OF KEY WEST TO THE DRY TORTUGAS AND FOR THE CENTRAL CUBAN
PROVINCES OF MATANZAS…CIENFUEGOS…VILLA CLARA…SANCTI
SPIRITUS…CIEGO DE AVILA…AND CAMAGUEY. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS
WEST OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO KEY WEST.
INTERESTS IN THE GULF OF MEXICO AND THE NORTHERN GULF COAST SHOULD
CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF GUSTAV.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA…INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS…PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 500 AM EDT…0900Z…THE EYE OF HURRICANE GUSTAV WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 20.2 NORTH…LONGITUDE 81.3 WEST OR ABOUT 135 MILES…
220 KM…SOUTHEAST OF THE ISLE OF YOUTH AND ABOUT 255 MILES…410 KM
…EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA.
GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH…19 KM/HR…AND
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON
THIS TRACK…THE CENTER OF GUSTAV WILL BE NEAR WESTERN CUBA LATER
TODAY…AND MOVE INTO THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO EARLY SUNDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 110 MPH…175 KM/HR…WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GUSTAV IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE. RECENT SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT GUSTAV IS
STRENGTHENING QUICKLY AND IT COULD BECOME A CATEGORY THREE
HURRICANE AT ANY TIME BEFORE REACHING CUBA. FURTHER STRENGTHENING
IS POSSIBLE IN THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO.
GUSTAV IS A LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES…95 KM…FROM THE CENTER…AND TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160 MILES…260 KM.
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
RECONNAISSANCE PLANE IS 965 MB…28.50 INCHES.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS
IS POSSIBLE IN THE CAYMAN ISLANDS…WITH 14 TO 19 FEET POSSIBLE NEAR
WHERE THE CENTER OF GUSTAV CROSSES WESTERN CUBA…INCLUDING THE ISLE
OF YOUTH.
GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO
12 INCHES ACROSS THE CAYMAN ISLANDS…AND CENTRAL AND WESTERN
CUBA…WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 25 INCHES POSSIBLE.
THESE RAINS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND
MUD SLIDES. RAINFALL OF 1 TO 3 INCHES IS POSSIBLE OVER FLORIDA KEYS
AND EXTREME SOUTH FLORIDA BY SUNDAY MORNING.
REPEATING THE 500 AM EDT POSITION…20.2 N…81.3 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD…NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…110 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…965 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 800 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100
AM EDT.
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/AVILA
—–
COMMENT:
AUTHOR: A Yahoo! user
DATE: 08/30/2008 02:20:07
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM HANNA ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082008
500 AM AST SAT AUG 30 2008
…HANNA HEADING WESTWARD WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH…
INTERESTS IN THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS AND THE SOUTHEASTERN
BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF HANNA.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA…INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS…PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 500 AM AST…0900Z…THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HANNA WAS
ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.9 NORTH…LONGITUDE 66.3 WEST OR ABOUT
240 MILES…390 KM…NORTH OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO AND ABOUT 310
MILES …500 KM…EAST OF GRAND TURK ISLAND.
HANNA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 12 MPH…19 KM/HR. A GRADUAL
TURN TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY FOLLOWED BY A
TURN BACK TO THE WEST ON SUNDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 50 MPH…85 KM/HR…WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST TODAY BUT HANNA COULD
BE NEAR HURRICANE STRENGTH ON SUNDAY.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES…185 KM
MAINLY TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB…29.56 INCHES.
RAIN BANDS ASSOCIATED WITH HANNA COULD PRODUCE RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE LEEWARD
ISLANDS.
REPEATING THE 500 AM AST POSITION…21.9 N…66.3 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD…WEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…50 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1001 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 AM AST.
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
—–
COMMENT:
AUTHOR: A Yahoo! user
DATE: 08/30/2008 13:05:32
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM HANNA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 10A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082008
200 PM AST SAT AUG 30 2008
…HANNA HEADS WEST-NORTHWESTWARD WITH NO CHANGE IN INTENSITY…
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN
BAHAMAS…INCLUDING THE ACKLINS…CROOKED ISLAND…THE
INAGUAS…MAYAGUANA…AND THE RAGGED ISLANDS…AS WELL AS FOR THE
TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA…INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS…PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 200 PM AST…1800Z…THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HANNA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.2 NORTH…LONGITUDE 67.0 WEST OR ABOUT
265 MILES…430 KM…EAST OF GRAND TURK ISLAND.
HANNA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH…13 KM/HR. A
WEST TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION WITH A GRADUAL DECREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THIS
TRACK…THE CENTER OF HANNA IS FORECAST TO MOVE NEAR OR JUST
NORTHEAST OF THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS LATE SUNDAY OR EARLY
MONDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH…85 KM/HR…WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT DAY
OR TWO.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES…
220 KM…MAINLY TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB…29.53 INCHES.
LONG-PERIOD SWELLS FROM HANNA ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE THE RISK
OF DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ALONG PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEASTERN
UNITED STATES COAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
REPEATING THE 200 PM AST POSITION…22.2 N…67.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD…WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…50
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1000 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 PM AST.
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
—–
COMMENT:
AUTHOR: A Yahoo! user
DATE: 08/30/2008 13:06:56
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
HURRICANE GUSTAV SPECIAL ADVISORY NUMBER 24
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072008
200 PM EDT SAT AUG 30 2008
…GUSTAV BECOMES AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE…
…WESTERN EYEWALL DIRECTLY IMPACTING THE ISLE OF YOUTH…
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF
PINAR DEL RIO…LA HABANA…CIUDAD DE LA HABANA…ISLA DE
JUVENTUD…MATANZAS…AND CIENFUEGOS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA SHOULD HAVE ALREADY BEEN
COMPLETED.
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL CUBAN PROVINCE
OF VILLA CLARA.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL CUBAN
PROVINCES OF VILLA CLARA…SANCTI SPIRITUS…CIEGO DE AVILA…AND
CAMAGUEY…AND FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS WEST OF THE SEVEN MILE
BRIDGE TO DRY TORTUGAS.
INTERESTS IN THE GULF OF MEXICO AND THE NORTHERN GULF COAST SHOULD
CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF GUSTAV. A HURRICANE WATCH COULD BE
ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN GULF COAST LATER TODAY.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA…PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 200 PM EDT…1800Z…THE EYE OF HURRICANE GUSTAV WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 21.6 NORTH…LONGITUDE 82.5 WEST…NEAR THE ISLE OF
YOUTH…OR ABOUT 155 MILES…250 KM…EAST OF THE WESTERN TIP OF
CUBA AND ABOUT 110 MILES…180 KM…SOUTH OF HAVANA CUBA.
GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH…22 KM/HR…AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS. ON THIS TRACK…THE CENTER OF GUSTAV WILL PASS OVER
WESTERN PORTIONS OF CUBA TODAY AND TONIGHT…THEN EMERGE OVER THE
SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO EARLY ON SUNDAY…AND REACH THE NORTHERN
GULF BY MONDAY MORNING.
DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE CONTINUED TO INCREASE AND ARE NOW NEAR 145
MPH…230 KM/HR…WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GUSTAV IS AN EXTREMELY
DANGEROUS CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE SCALE. AN UNOFFICIAL OBSERVATION OF A SUSTAINED WIND OF
140 MPH…220 KM/HR…HAS BEEN REPORTED ALONG THE EASTERN COAST OF
THE ISLE OF YOUTH. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS…AND GUSTAV COULD BECOME A CATEGORY
FIVE HURRICANE EITHER BEFORE OR SHORTLY AFTER CROSSING WESTERN
CUBA.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES…110 KM…FROM
THE CENTER…AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175
MILES…280 KM.
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE
RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 945 MB…27.91 INCHES.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 18 TO 23 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS…ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES…IS
POSSIBLE NEAR WHERE THE CENTER OF GUSTAV CROSSES WESTERN
CUBA…INCLUDING THE ISLE OF YOUTH. STORM SURGE OF 1 TO 3 FEET
ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS POSSIBLE IN THE DRY TORTUGAS AS GUSTAV
PASSES TO ITS WEST.
GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO
12 INCHES ACROSS THE CAYMAN ISLANDS…AND CENTRAL AND WESTERN
CUBA…WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 25 INCHES POSSIBLE.
THESE RAINS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND
MUD SLIDES. RAINFALL OF 1 TO 3 INCHES IS POSSIBLE OVER FLORIDA KEYS
AND EXTREME SOUTH FLORIDA BY SUNDAY MORNING.
REPEATING THE 200 PM EDT POSITION…21.6 N…82.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD…NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…145 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…945 MB.
THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 500 PM EDT.
$$
FORECASTER KNABB