Brian Schley
Jun 9, 20097 min
TODAY: MOSTLY SUNNY AND VERY WARM LO: 64 HI: 86
WEDNESDAY: PARTLY CLOUDY AND STILL WARM LO: 62 HI: 84
THURSDAY: PARTLY CLOUDY AND A BIT COOLER LO: 62 HI: 84
FRIDAY: PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A VERY SMALL CHANCE FOR A LATE DAY OR EVENING ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM BUT AGAIN LIKELY NO STORMS AT ALL LO: 60 HI: 82
SATURDAY: PARTLY CLOUDY AND A BIT WARMER AGAIN LO: 62 HI: 84
"WEATHER OR NOT"
FORECASTER: SCHLEY
—–
COMMENT:
AUTHOR: A Yahoo! user
DATE: 08/14/2008 16:01:15
WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION FOR WATCH 829
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
654 PM EDT THU AUG 14 2008
MDC003-005-009-013-017-025-027-033-037-510-150200-
/O.CON.KLWX.SV.A.0829.000000T0000Z-080815T0200Z/
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 829 REMAINS VALID UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IN MARYLAND THIS WATCH INCLUDES 9 COUNTIES
IN CENTRAL MARYLAND
ANNE ARUNDEL HOWARD PRINCE GEORGES
IN NORTH CENTRAL MARYLAND
CARROLL
IN NORTHERN MARYLAND
BALTIMORE HARFORD
IN SOUTHERN MARYLAND
CALVERT CHARLES ST. MARYS
IN MARYLAND THIS WATCH INCLUDES 1 INDEPENDENT CITY
IN NORTHERN MARYLAND
BALTIMORE CITY
THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF…ABERDEEN…ANNAPOLIS…BALTIMORE…
BEL AIR…CHESAPEAKE BEACH…COLUMBIA…EDGEWOOD…FALLSTON…
HAVRE DE GRACE…JOPPATOWNE…LAUREL…ST MARYS…TOWSON…
WALDORF AND WESTMINSTER.
—–
COMMENT:
AUTHOR: A Yahoo! user
DATE: 08/14/2008 16:01:45
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
622 PM EDT THU AUG 14 2008
MDZ014-018-142300-
ANNE ARUNDEL MD-CALVERT MD-
622 PM EDT THU AUG 14 2008
…STRONG THUNDERSTORMS TO AFFECT ANNE ARUNDEL AND CALVERT
COUNTIES…
AT 622 PM EDT…DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER
SOUTHERN ANNE ARUNDEL AND NORTHERN CALVERT COUNTIES…NEAR TRACYS
LANDING…MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.
LOCATIONS THAT WILL LIKELY BE AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE SHADY
SIDE AND MAYO.
WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH AND SMALL HAIL CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THIS
STORM.
—–
COMMENT:
AUTHOR: A Yahoo! user
DATE: 08/14/2008 16:06:01
000
ABNT20 KNHC 141739
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT THU AUG 14 2008
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC…CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO…
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE IS MOVING
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 15 MPH INTO THE VIRGIN ISLANDS. WHILE
THE ASSOCIATED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS BECOME MORE
CONCENTRATED…MOST OF THE ACTIVITY IS LOCATED WELL EAST OF THE LOW
CENTER AT THIS TIME. NOAA AND AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER
AIRCRAFT ARE CURRENTLY INVESTIGATING THE SYSTEM TO SEE IF A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION HAS FORMED. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT…THIS
SYSTEM COULD BRING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS TO PORTIONS
OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS…THE VIRGIN ISLANDS…PUERTO
RICO…AND HISPANIOLA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO…AND INTERESTS IN
THESE AREAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS LOCATED ABOUT 1100 MILES EAST
OF THE LESSER ANTILLES. SHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THIS
SYSTEM REMAINS LIMITED AND DISORGANIZED AND DEVELOPMENT…IF
ANY…IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR AS THE SYSTEM CONTINUES
MOVING WESTWARD ABOUT 10 TO 15 MPH.
ELSEWHERE.. TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
—–
COMMENT:
AUTHOR: A Yahoo! user
DATE: 08/15/2008 06:09:37
000
ABNT20 KNHC 151142
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT FRI AUG 15 2008
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC…CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO…
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS INCREASED THIS MORNING IN ASSOCIATION WITH
THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED OVER PUERTO RICO. WHILE THIS
SYSTEM CONTINUES TO SHOW SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION…IT DOES NOT YET
APPEAR TO HAVE A WELL-DEFINED CENTER OF CIRCULATION AT THE SURFACE.
UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION COULD FORM AT ANY TIME WITHIN THE NEXT DAY OR SO…
ALTHOUGH WHEN AND WHERE A DEPRESSION MIGHT FORM IS UNCERTAIN…IN
PART DUE TO POTENTIAL INTERACTIONS WITH THE LAND MASS OF
HISPANIOLA. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS
SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THIS SYSTEM LATER TODAY. REGARDLESS OF
DEVELOPMENT…HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS WILL OCCUR OVER PORTIONS
OF THE VIRGIN ISLANDS…PUERTO RICO…AND HISPANIOLA TODAY AND
TONIGHT…AND OVER PORTIONS OF EASTERN CUBA…THE TURKS AND
CAICOS…AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS ON SATURDAY. THESE RAINS
COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. INTERESTS
IN THESE AREAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS BECOME A LITTLE MORE
CONCENTRATED WITHIN A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE…ASSOCIATED WITH
A TROPICAL WAVE…THAT IS LOCATED ABOUT 750 MILES EAST OF THE
LESSER ANTILLES. GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10
TO 15 MPH.
ELSEWHERE.. TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.
$$
FORECASTER KNABB
—–
COMMENT:
AUTHOR: A Yahoo! user
DATE: 08/16/2008 21:44:54
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062008
1100 PM EDT SAT AUG 16 2008
…FAY EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN ON SUNDAY…
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CUBA FROM THE
PROVINCE OF SANCTI SPIRITUS EASTWARD TO GUANTANAMO…AND ALSO FOR
CAYMAN BRAC AND LITTLE CAYMAN.
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CUBA FROM THE PROVINCE OF
MATANZAS EASTWARD TO SANCTI SPIRITUS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS…
JAMAICA…AND THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.
AT 11 PM EDT…0300 UTC…THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR HAITI HAS
BEEN DISCONTINUED.
INTERESTS IN WESTERN CUBA…THE FLORIDA KEYS…AND THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA…INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS…PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 1100 PM EDT…0300 UTC…THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.4 NORTH…LONGITUDE 76.3 WEST OR ABOUT 175
MILES…280 KM…SOUTHEAST OF CAMAGUEY CUBA AND ABOUT 100 MILES…
165 KM…NORTH-NORTHEAST OF KINGSTON JAMAICA.
FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 14 MPH…22 KM/HR. A GRADUAL TURN
TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND NORTHWEST WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THIS
TRACK…THE CENTER OF FAY WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NEAR OR OVER THE
SOUTHERN COAST OF EASTERN AND CENTRAL CUBA SUNDAY…AND WILL BE
NEAR OR OVER WESTERN CUBA SUNDAY NIGHT OR MONDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH…75 KM/HR…WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND
FAY COULD BE APPROACHING HURRICANE STRENGTH AS IT NEARS WESTERN
CUBA.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES…165 KM
FROM THE CENTER. GUANTANAMO CUBA RECENTLY REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS
OF 44 MPH…71 KM/HR WITH GUSTS TO 52 MPH…83 KM/HR. RAINBANDS
ASSOCIATED WITH FAY ARE AFFECTING THE BAHAMAS AND ARE APPROACHING
THE FLORIDA STRAITS.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB…29.68 INCHES.
TIDES OF 1 TO 3 FEET FEET ABOVE NORMAL CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE
WARNING AREA IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW.
FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES OVER HAITI…EASTERN AND CENTRAL CUBA…JAMAICA…AND
THE NORTHERN CAYMAN ISLANDS…WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15
INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS
AND MUD SLIDES. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE OVER GRAND CAYMAN AND OVER THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN
BAHAMAS.
REPEATING THE 1100 PM EDT POSITION…19.4 N…76.3 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD…WEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…45 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1005 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 200 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500
AM EDT.
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
—–
COMMENT:
AUTHOR: A Yahoo! user
DATE: 08/17/2008 09:37:17
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062008
1100 AM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008
…FAY MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD SOUTH OF CUBA…NEW WARNINGS AND
WATCHES IN FLORIDA…
AT 11 AM EDT…1500 UTC…THE HURRICANE WATCH ON THE WEST COAST OF
FLORIDA IS EXTENDED NORTHWARD TO ANNA MARIA ISLAND. A HURRICANE
WATCH IS IN NOW EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM SOUTH OF OCEAN
REEF TO KEY WEST…INCLUDING THE DRY TORTUGAS AND FLORIDA BAY…AND
ALONG THE FLORIDA MAINLAND FROM CARD SOUND BRIDGE WESTWARD TO ANNA
MARIA ISLAND. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA…GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CUBA FROM THE PROVINCES OF
LA HABANA AND CIUDAD DE LA HABANA EASTWARD TO SANCTI SPIRITUS.
AT 11 AM EDT…1500 UTC…A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN IN EFFECT FOR
THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM CRAIG KEY WESTWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS…
INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CUBA FROM THE
PROVINCES OF LA HABANA AND CIUDAD DE LA HABANA EASTWARD TO
GUANTANAMO…AND ALSO FOR CAYMAN BRAC AND LITTLE CAYMAN.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF
FLORIDA FROM OCEAN REEF NORTHWARD TO JUPITER INLET…AND FOR LAKE
OKEECHOBEE. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA…GENERALLY WITHIN 36
HOURS.
AT 11 AM EDT…1500 UTC…THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS DISCONTINUED
FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA AND THE CAYMAN
ISLANDS.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE FLORIDA PENINSULA AND THE NORTHWESTERN
BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF FAY.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA…INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS…PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 1100 AM EDT…1500 UTC…THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.5 NORTH…LONGITUDE 78.6 WEST OR ABOUT 75
MILES…125 KM…SOUTHWEST OF CAMAGUEY CUBA AND ABOUT 350 MILES…
560 KM…SOUTHEAST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA.
FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH…20 KM/HR. A
TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT…WITH
A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH EXPECTED ON MONDAY. FAY IS EXPECTED TO
MOVE NEAR THE SOUTH COAST OF CUBA TODAY…CROSS WESTERN CUBA
OVERNIGHT TONIGHT OR MONDAY MORNING…AND MOVE NEAR THE FLORIDA
KEYS MONDAY NIGHT.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH…85 KM/HR…WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND
FAY COULD BE APPROACHING HURRICANE STRENGTH WHEN IT REACHES WESTERN
CUBA. ALTHOUGH SOME WEAKENING IS LIKELY AS FAY CROSSES CUBA…FAY
IS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR HURRICANE STRENGTH AS IT APPROACHES THE
FLORIDA KEYS.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES…165 KM
FROM THE CENTER. CABO CRUZ CUBA RECENTLY REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 66
MPH…107 KM/HR.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB…29.62 INCHES.
TIDES OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE IN THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING AREA IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW.
FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES OVER MUCH OF CUBA…JAMAICA…AND THE NORTHERN CAYMAN
ISLANDS…WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES. THESE RAINS
COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER GRAND
CAYMAN AND OVER THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS. HEAVY RAIN
MAY BEGIN TO AFFECT THE FLORIDA KEYS AND SOUTH FLORIDA LATER TODAY
AND INTO MONDAY. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES…WITH MAXIMUM
AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS AND SOUTH
FLORIDA.
REPEATING THE 1100 AM EDT POSITION…20.5 N…78.6 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD…WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…50
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1003 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 200 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500
PM EDT.
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN/BROWN